• USD/TRY seesaws after two-day downtrend inside bearish chart pattern
• Sustained trading below 200-SMA, steady RSI favor pair sellers.
• 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, triangle’s support line limit short-term downside.

USD/TRY licks its wounds near $13.45, up 0.06% intraday after two consecutive days of downside to Tuesday’s Asian session.

Even so, the Turkish lira (TRY) pair remains below the 200-SMA, as well as inside a two-week-long ascending triangle bearish chart pattern.

Given the steady RSI line, the gradual easing of the USD/TRY prices seems to be on the table.

However, a clear downside break of the $13.35 becomes necessary as the level comprises the lower of the stated triangle and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the December 20-23 downside.

Following that, a downside towards 23.6% Fibo. level surrounding $12.16 and then to the $12.00 threshold can’t be ruled out.

Meanwhile, recovery moves remain dismal below the 200-SMA level of $13.55, a break of which will propel the quote towards the triangle’s upper line of the bearish chart pattern near $13.95.

It’s worth observing that the $14.00 threshold will act as a validation point for the fresh rally targeting the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level near $15.25.

USD/TRY: Four-hour chart

Trend: Further downside expected