EUR/USD has seen a clear break of support at 1.1272. Economists at Credit Suisse view the corrective phase from late November as now over and look for a resumption of the core downtrend to the 1.1019/02 region.
“With daily MACD momentum having turned lower again, we maintain our view that the corrective phase is over and core downtrend resumed.”
“We look for a retest of the lows of last November and June/July 2020 at 1.1186/68. We look for this support to now be ideally removed with ease with support then seen next at 1.1046 ahead of our 1.1019/02 main objective – the 78.6% retracement of the 2020/2021 bull trend and top of the base from April/May 2020. We would then look for a fresh phase of consolidation to develop from here.”
“Resistance is seen moving to 1.1244 initially, then 1.1263, with the immediate risk now seen staying directly lower below 1.1299/1.1312.”