If USD/CNH close above 6.6850 it would be indicative that the downside pressure could be over, commented FX Strategists at UOB Group Lee Sue Ann and Quek Ser Leang.
24-hour view: “We highlighted yesterday that ‘the current movement is likely part of a consolidation phase’ and we expected USD to ‘trade between 6.6320 and 6.6720’. USD subsequently traded within a narrower range than expected (6.6373/6.6642) before closing largely unchanged at 6.6577 (+0.03%). Further consolidation appears likely even though the slightly firmed underlying tone suggests a higher range of 6.6420/6.6770.”
Next 1-3 weeks: “Last Friday (03 Jun, spot at 6.6350), we held the view that the risk for USD is on the downside but any weakness could be limited to a test of 6.5940. Since then, USD has not been able to make much headway on the downside. Downward momentum is beginning to wane and a break of 6.5850 (no change in ‘strong resistance’ level) would indicate that the downside risk has dissipated.”