Gold remains non-committal below $1,750 as traders refrain from placing any aggressive directional bets in the run-up to the all-important US Nonfarm Payrolls release, FXStreet’s Dhwani Mehta reports.
“A slowdown in the US jobs creation alongside the wage growth could discourage the Fed to go on an all-out aggressive tightening spree. In such a case, the USD-price gold could catch fresh bids in an immediate reaction to the data release. Although a tighter labor market may justify the US central bank’s rapid and bigger rate-hike stance, reviving recession fears. The greenback is likely to remain in a win-win situation, irrespective of the NFP outcome.”
“The recovery in gold remains capped below $1,751, which is the 23.6% Fibonacci Retracement (Fibo) level of this week’s sell-off from $1,815 levels. Daily closing above the latter is required to initiate any meaningful recovery. Further up, the 38.2% Fibo level at $1,763 will challenge the bearish commitments. Powerful resistance at $1.770 will be the next stop for XAU bulls. That level is the confluence of the psychological mark and the 50% Fibo level of the same decline.”
“On the downside, the $1,732 will be the initial support, below which the rising channel target at $1,722 will come into play. A sustained move below the latter will expose the $1,700 threshold.”
See – NFP Preview: Forecasts from 10 major banks, labour market loses momentum