The NZD/USD rose to fresh weekly highs around 0.6251 on Thursday, spurred by broad US dollar weakness courtesy of a fall in US T-bond yields, ahead of Powell’s keynote on Friday at the Jackson Hole Symposium. At the time of writing, the NZD/USD is trading at 0.6223, above its opening price by 0.63%.
Wall Street finished with solid gains, reflecting an upbeat mood. Nevertheless, trading liquidity conditions remained thin as investors prepared for other Fed policymakers’ remarks.
The NZD/USD edged higher during the day, briefly piercing the 50-day EMA at 0.6248 but retraced towards current exchange rates. Even though the NZD/USD trades positive in the week, moving averages above the price action, with a downward slope, suggest the opposite, further reinforced by the RSI in negative territory.
Short term, the NZD/USD 4-hour scale illustrates the major bottoming around the 0.6160 area, though as of writing, the major is trading below August’s 23 daily high at 0.6264. A breach of the latter is needed so the pair can retest the figure at 0.6300. Once cleared, the next resistance area will be the August 16 swing high at 0.6383. On the other side, the NZD/USD first support would be the 20-day EMA at 0.6197, below the 0.6200 figure. Break below will expose the August 22 daily low at 0.6156, followed by the psychological 0.6100.