• GBP/USD remains on the defensive amid stronger USD, moves little post-US PCE data

Market news

30 September 2022

GBP/USD remains on the defensive amid stronger USD, moves little post-US PCE data

  • GBP/USD retreats over 100 pips from the weekly high touched earlier this Friday.
  • The emergence of fresh USD buying turns out to be a key factor exerting pressure.
  • The US PCE data does little to provide any impetus, though favours the USD bulls.

The GBP/USD pair retreats sharply from the 1.1235 region, or the weekly high touched this Friday and refreshes the daily low during the early North American session. Spot prices, however, recover a few pips and hold steady just above the 1.1050 area post-US macro data.

The US dollar makes a solid comeback on the last day of the week and stalls its recent sharp corrective decline from a two-decade high. This turns out to be a key factor behind the GBP/USD pair's intraday turnaround. The USD sticks to its intraday gains following the release of stronger-than-expected US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data.

The US Bureau of Economic Analysis reported that PCE Price Index eased to 6.2% YoY in August from 6.4% in the previous month, missing expectations for a rise to 6.6%. The disappointment from the headline print, however, was offset by the Core PCE Price Index (the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, which rose by 0.6% and to a 4.7% YoY rate during the reported month.

The data all but reaffirmed market bets that the Federal Reserve will stick to a more aggressive rate hiking cycle to curb persistently high inflation. This triggers an intraday recovery in the US Treasury bond yields, which, along with the prevalent risk-off environment, underpins the safe-haven greenback and continues to weigh on the GBP/USD pair.

That said, the lack of any follow-through selling warrants some caution before confirming that the strong recovery from an all-time low touched on Monday has run out of steam. Nevertheless, the GBP/USD pair, for now, seems to have snapped a three-day winning streak, though remains on track to register strong weekly gains.

Technical levels to watch

 

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