• RBNZ’s Orr: It will be a brief recession

Market news

23 November 2022

RBNZ’s Orr: It will be a brief recession

Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) Governor Adrian Orr is speaking at the November post-monetary policy meeting press conference this Wednesday, endorsing the central bank’s hawkish 75 basis points (bps) Official Cash Rate (OCR) rate hike announced earlier on.

Key quotes

It will be a brief recession.

Wage and inflation expectations must fall.

Economic activity currently strong.

Spending currently strong.

Committee spent more time considering 75bp and 100bp hike, than 50bp.

RBNZ's Chief Economist Paul Conway said that “inflation expectations are higher than expected.”

Another RBNZ official said that the neutral interest rate has increased and that monetary conditions are not as contractionary.

Market reaction

NZD/USD is unfazed by Orr’s comments, keeping its range at around 0.6170, adding 0.47% on the day.

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