The Australian Dollar (AUD) rose against the Japanese Yen (JPY), though it gave back some of its earlier gains after hitting a daily high of 92.33. The 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 91.97 was the main reason for the AUD/JPY to retrace from three-day highs, and at the time of writing, the AUD/JPY trades at 91.63, below its opening price by 0.12%.
From a daily chart perspective, the cross-currency pair is neutral to downward biased, as it should be remembered that a break below the 200-day EMA is used as a barometer for long-term trends. Additionally to the 200-day EMA capping the rally, the bottom-trendline of a descending channel that intersects with the 200-EMA are two technical signals that would keep the AUD/JPY downward biased. Both oscillators lack direction, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) almost flat at bearish territory and the Rate of Change (RoC) unchanged.
If the AUD/JPY breaks below December’s 5 daily low at 91.08, that will pave the way for substantial losses. The following support would be the October 13 swing low at 90.83, followed by the August 2 daily low at 90.52. A decisive break would expose the 90.00 psychological level.
On the upside, the AUD/JPY first resistance would be the 200-day EMA at 91.97. Breach above will clear the way to the 20-day EMA at 92.88, followed by the 93.00 figure.