• AUD/USD Price Analysis: Further downside hinges on 100-DMA break

Market news

20 December 2022

AUD/USD Price Analysis: Further downside hinges on 100-DMA break

  • AUD/USD takes offers to refresh intraday low, reverses week-start recovery.
  • Support break joins bearish MACD signals, downbeat RSI to keep sellers hopeful.
  • Daily closing below 100-DMA appears necessary to defend sellers.

AUD/USD remains on the back foot as it renews its intraday low near 0.6665, reversing the early-week rebound, as bears return to the table on Tuesday.

In doing so, the Aussie pair cheers the previous week’s downside break of a one-week-old ascending trend line, now resistance around 0.6725. The downside bias also takes clues from the bearish MACD signals and the steady RSI.

That said, the 100-DMA level surrounding 0.6660 challenges the AUD/USD bears by the press time, a break of which could quickly direct it to the November lows near 0.6580.

Should the AUD/USD bears keep the reins past 0.6580, October’s top near 0.6550 will be in focus.

On the flip side, a daily closing beyond the previous support line near 0.6725 becomes necessary for the AUD/USD buyers to retake control.

Even so, a downward-sloping resistance line from early June, close to 0.6870 by the press time, appears a tough nut to crack for the bulls.

It should be observed that the monthly high near 0.6895 and the 0.6900 round figure can act as extra upside filters before directing AUD/USD towards August month’s high near 0.7135.

AUD/USD: Daily chart

Trend: Further downside expected

 

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