The likelihood of further gains remains unchanged once USD/JPY clears 131.15, comment UOB Group’s Economist Lee Sue Ann and Markets Strategist Quek Ser Leang.

Key Quotes

24-hour view: “Yesterday, we highlighted that ‘the rebound from the low has room to extend but a sustained advance above 130.80 appears unlikely’. Our expectations did not materialize as USD traded between 129.73 and 130.53. The price actions are likely part of a consolidation phase and USD is expected to trade within a range of 129.60/130.60 today.”

Next 1-3 weeks: “Our update from yesterday (31 Jan, spot at 130.40) is still valid. As highlighted, while upward momentum is showing signs of increasing, USD has to break above 131.15 before a sustained advance is likely. The chance of USD breaking above 131.15 will remain in place as long as USD stays above 129.30 (no change in ‘strong support’ level) within the next few days. Looking ahead, the next resistance level above 131.15 is at 132.00.”