It has been quite a turbulent ride in EUR/USD lately. Economists at Nordea expect the pair to grind higher. 

USD could be stronger if we get a new global turndown

“While the USD usually benefits during turbulent times, it has been hurt by the lower rate differential.”

“Given our latest views on the Fed and ECB, we believe the ECB needs to do more from here to bring inflation under control, pointing to a higher EUR/USD ahead. Uncertainty is markedly high though, if we get a new global turndown, the USD could be stronger than we expect.”