• Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD seems vulnerable, bears await break below 38.2% Fibo.

Market news

16 May 2023

Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD seems vulnerable, bears await break below 38.2% Fibo.

  • Silver drops to a multi-week low, though finds some support near the 38.2% Fibo. level.
  • The technical setup favours bearish traders and supports prospects for deeper losses.
  • A sustained strength beyond the $24.20-30 area is needed to negate the negative bias.

Silver comes under some renewed selling pressure following the previous day's modest uptick and drops to its lowest level since April 3 during the first half of trading on Tuesday. The white metal, however, finds some support near the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of the March-May rise and trades just below the $24.00 mark during the early European session, still down 0.80% for the day.

From a technical perspective, the two-way price move witnessed over the past three days constitutes the formation of a rectangle on hourly charts. Against the backdrop of the recent sharp pullback from over a one-year top, this might still be categorized as a bearish consolidation phase. Moreover, oscillators on hourly/daily charts are holding deep in the negative territory and support prospects for further losses.

That said, it will still be prudent to wait for a sustained break below the $23.70-$23.65 area (38.2% Fibo.) before positioning for an extension of over a one-week-old downtrend. The XAG/USD might then test the $23.40 strong horizontal support, which coincides with the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). The latter should act as a pivotal point to determine the near-term trajectory. 

The subsequent downfall could drag the XAG/USD towards 50% Fibo. level, around the $23.00 round-figure mark. The next relevant support is pegged near the $22.65-$22.60 region ahead of the $22.30-$22.25 zone, or the 61.8% Fibo. level. A convincing break below the latter will be seen as a fresh trigger for bearish traders and pave the way for a further depreciating move.

On the flip side, the top end of a short-term trading range, around the $24.15-$24.20 region, could act as an immediate hurdle. A sustained strength beyond might trigger a short-covering rally and lift the XAG/USD towards the 23.6% Fibo. level, around the $24.60 zone. Some follow-through buying should allow bulls to reclaim the $25.00 psychological mark and aim to test the next resistance near the $25.30-$25.40 supply zone.

Silver daily chart

fxsoriginal

Key levels to watch

 

Market Focus
Material posted here is solely for information purposes and reliance on this may lead to losses. Past performances are not a reliable indicator of future results. Please read our full disclaimer
Open Demo Account & Personal Page
I understand and accept the Privacy Policy and agree to my name and contact details being used by TeleTrade to contact me about this.