Economists at CIBC Capital Markets expect the USD/MXN pair to inch higher for the rest of the year.
We maintain our call for two 25 bps rate cuts in Q4. Moreover, we restate our upward USD/MXN bias for the rest of the year with a 19.00 forecast for Q3 and a 19.50 estimate by year-end 2023.
A deceleration in US growth coupled with our expectations of tighter MEX-US yield spreads remain the largest risks to MXN.