Economists at Danske Bank analyze EUR/USD outlook ahead of the European Central Bank (ECB) meeting.
We stick to our strategic case for a lower EUR/USD in the second half, as we expect relative growth differentials to favour the USD despite lower carry.
We see the cross at 1.06/1.03 on 6M/12M.
Today, potentially hawkish ECB could drive the EUR/USD pair higher, which could give rise to selling opportunities.
See – ECB Banks Preview: 25 bps, more remains in store