Economists at MUFG Bank see EUR/USD higher but lower than previously forecast.
We have nudged our peak EUR/USD level of 1.1500 a little lower.
Weaker-than-expected data from the Eurozone, a rate hike by the Fed in July and continued global growth concerns will take some of the modest upward momentum away from EUR/USD.
Still, assuming no notable worsening of growth in the Eurozone and some pick-up in China optimism, we still see some upside scope from here.
EUR/USD – Q3 2023 1.10 Q4 2023 1.12 Q1 2024 1.13 Q2 2024 1.10