• NZD/USD Price Analysis: Delivers consolidation breakout as investors expect Fed rates reach peak

Market news

27 July 2023

NZD/USD Price Analysis: Delivers consolidation breakout as investors expect Fed rates reach peak

  • NZD/USD shows a decline in volatility after a rally move propelled by less-hawkish Fed policy.
  • The US Dollar Index has extended its correction sharply as fears of a recession in the US have eased significantly.
  • NZD/USD tests the strength of the breakout of the consolidation formed around 0.6235.

The NZD/USD pair demonstrates signs of volatility contraction around 0.6250 in the London session. The Kiwi asset turns sideways after a solid upside move as investors are awaiting the United States Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data, which will release at 12:00 GMT.

Meanwhile, strength in the Kiwi asset has been propelled by less-hawkish monetary policy by the Federal Reserve (Fed) announced on Wednesday. Fed hikes interest rates by 25 basis points (bps) to 5.25-5.50%. Investors are taking July’s interest rate as the last one in the current tightening spell.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) has extended its correction sharply to near 100.58 as fears of a recession in the United States have eased significantly.

NZD/USD tests the strength of the breakout formed around 0.6235 on an hourly scale. The asset delivered the breakout of the consolidation formed in a range of 0.6180-0.6230, which results in wider ticks and heavy volume. Upward-sloping 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 0.6240 is providing support to the New Zealand Dollar bulls.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has shifted into the bullish range of 60.00-80.00, which indicates that the bullish momentum is active.

A decisive break above July 27 high at 0.6274 would drive the asset toward July 20 high around 0.6310 followed by July 17 high at 0.6369.

On the flip side, a downside move below the weekly low at 0.615 would send the major toward the round-level support at 0.6100. Slippage below the latter would expose the asset to June 29 low at 0.6050.

NZD/USD hourly chart

 

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