24-hour view: We highlighted yesterday that GBP could test 1.2290 before the risk of a pullback increases. GBP then rose to a high of 1.2288, but instead of pulling back, it plunged to a low of 1.2154. The sharp and swift decline appears to be overdone, but there is no sign of stabilisation yet. Today, as long as GBP stays below 1.2220 (minor resistance is at 1.2195), it could dip to 1.2135 before stabilisation is likely. The next support at 1.2095 is highly unlikely to come under threat.  

Next 1-3 weeks: We noted yesterday that “upward momentum appears to be building,” and we were of the view that GBP “is likely to rise to 1.2340.” GBP then rose to 1.2288 before dropping sharply to a low of 1.2154. The breach of our ‘strong support’ level at 1.2165 indicates that the momentum buildup has faded. The current price action is likely part of a consolidation phase. For the time being, GBP is likely to trade between 1.2095 and 1.2285.