• USD/TRY climbs to fresh hall-time highs around 28.1500

Market news

26 October 2023

USD/TRY climbs to fresh hall-time highs around 28.1500

  • The Turkish currency depreciates to record lows vs. the greenback.
  • The CBR hiked rates by 500 bps at its event on Thursday.
  • The bank keeps the inflation target at 5.00%.

Further selling pressure hurts the Turkish lira and lifts USD/TRY to a new all-time high around 28.1500 on Thursday.

USD/TRY accelerates the move higher despite the CBRT hike

USD/TRY extends its advance and looks to consolidate the recent breakout of the 28.00 hurdle despite the fact that the Turkish central bank (CBRT) raised the One-Week Repo Rate by 500 bps to 35.00% (from 30.00%), matching the broad consensus.

That said, the central bank raised its key policy rate by 500 bps for the second consecutive meeting, while the lira has already depreciated more than 28% vs. the US dollar since January.

The central bank justified its decision to extend the tightening cycle in light of still-highly elevated inflation and potential upside risks stemming from higher crude oil prices and geopolitical concerns.

In addition, the CBRT maintains its inflation target at 5.00% in the medium term and stands ready to further tighten its monetary conditions accordingly.

USD/TRY key levels

So far, the pair is gaining 0.35% to 28.1440 and faces the next up-barrier at 28.1551 (all-time high October 26) ahead of 29.0000 (round level). On the downside, a break below 27.2064 (55-day SMA) would expose 26.5841 (100-day SMA) and finally 25.2143 (monthly low August 24).

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