AUD/USD closed above the 0.65 handle for the first time in about three months. Economists at OCBC Bank analyze the pair’s outlook.
For the RBA meeting, we see a good chance of RBA increasing cash rates by 25 bps.
Given that market is 50-50, the chance of a two-way swing is relatively high around timing of the RBA policy announcement.
A hawkish hike should continue to keep AUD better bid while a no hike should see last week’s gains in AUD reversed.