• Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD holds above $29.00 despite fading Fed rate cut hopes

Market news

14 June 2024

Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD holds above $29.00 despite fading Fed rate cut hopes

  • Silver price recovers to $29.05 in Friday’s early European session. 
  • The lower bets on the Fed rate cut weigh on the white metal. 
  • The US Producer Price Index (PPI) rose 2.2% YoY in May, compared to the 2.3% increase in April, below expectations. 

The Silver price (XAG/USD) trades in positive territory near $29.05 on Friday during the early European session. The white metal finds some support and bounces off monthly lows around $28.65 despite the extended gains in US Dollar (USD). The upside for XAG/USD is likely to be limited amid the growing speculation that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) might cut its key interest rate just once by year-end. 

The markets are now raising their bet that the Fed could begin its easing cycle as soon as September amid signs of cooling inflationary pressures in the United States. The projections that the US Fed will cut rates only once by 25 basis points (bps) this year instead of the two that the consensus previously thought boost the US Dollar (USD) across the board and exert some selling pressure on non-yielding assets like Silver as it makes the white metal more expensive for overseas buyers. 

On Thursday, the US Producer Price Index (PPI) was below the forecast, rising 2.2% YoY in May, compared to the 2.3% increase in April. The core PPI figure rose 2.3% YoY in May, below the consensus and April’s reading of 2.4%, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics revealed on Thursday. Furthermore, the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits last week rose by 242K, above the market consensus of 225K and the previous week's reading of 229K.

Technically, the immediate resistance level for Silver will emerge at the $30.0 psychological mark en route to $31.55, a high of June 7. The initial support level is seen at the $29.00 round mark, followed by $28.40.  

XAG/USD

Overview
Today last price 29.05
Today Daily Change 0.09
Today Daily Change % 0.31
Today daily open 28.96
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 30.62
Daily SMA50 28.93
Daily SMA100 26.34
Daily SMA200 24.75
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 29.73
Previous Daily Low 28.66
Previous Weekly High 31.55
Previous Weekly Low 29.12
Previous Monthly High 32.51
Previous Monthly Low 26.02
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 29.07
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 29.32
Daily Pivot Point S1 28.5
Daily Pivot Point S2 28.04
Daily Pivot Point S3 27.43
Daily Pivot Point R1 29.58
Daily Pivot Point R2 30.19
Daily Pivot Point R3 30.66

 

 

Market Focus
Material posted here is solely for information purposes and reliance on this may lead to losses. Past performances are not a reliable indicator of future results. Please read our full disclaimer
Open Demo Account & Personal Page
I understand and accept the Privacy Policy and agree to my name and contact details being used by TeleTrade to contact me about this.