- Australia: Inflation falls to three-year low, opening door to RBA rate cut in 4Q – UOB Group
Market news
Australia: Inflation falls to three-year low, opening door to RBA rate cut in 4Q – UOB Group
As expected, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decided to leave its cash rate target unchanged at 4.35% in Sep, for a seventh straight meeting, UOB Group economist Lee Sue Ann notes.
RBA to cut on 5 November
“The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) kept rates at a 12-year high of 4.35% following its 24 Sep meeting, as expected, and continued to emphasize ‘the need to remain vigilant to upside risks to inflation’.”
“The latest RBA decision came a day before data showing inflation slowing to 2.7% y/y in Aug, from 3.5% y/y in Jul, in line with consensus forecast. It marked the lowest reading since Aug 2021.”
“Our base case remains for the RBA to cut on 5 Nov, though this will be a close call, and very much dependent on upcoming data releases till then, including labour market (due 17 Oct) well as 3Q24 CPI (due 30 Oct) readings.”
Material posted here is solely for information purposes and reliance on this may lead to losses. Past performances are not a reliable indicator of future results. Please read our full disclaimer