USD/CNH firmed but levels remain within recent range. Pair was last at 7.2916 levels, OCBC’s FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.

Consolidation likely in recent range

“Bearish momentum on daily chart shows signs of fading while RSI rose. Consolidation likely in recent range as steady PBoC daily fixing (under 7.20) suggests policymakers are looking for relative stability. Resistance at 7.2940, 7.3150 levels. Support at 7.2640 (21 DMA), 7.2340 (23.6% fibo retracement of Sep low to Dec high) and 7.2040 (200 DMA).”

“2-day CEWC had concluded last week, with little signs of stimulus support measures. FOMC event risk this week may have influence on USD’s directional bias. But in the interim, we expect policymakers will continue to keep the RMB contained.”