EUR: Narrower rate spreads, but tariff threat dominates – ING

Market news

9 January 2025

EUR: Narrower rate spreads, but tariff threat dominates – ING

EUR/USD remains fragile as US rates remain relatively firm, higher US Treasury yields undermine risk conditions and US tariff threats loom large, ING FX analyst Chris Turner notes.

More EUR/USD consolidation on a quieter day

“EUR:USD two-year swap rate differentials are actually narrowing a little in favour of the EUR/USD, but this week has proved that any EUR/USD gains can quickly be wiped out by the US trade story.”

“German November industrial production has come in a little better than expected today but is unlikely to move the needle for EUR/USD. Equally, a bounce back in eurozone November retail sales (11CET today) will not help much either.”

“Look for some more EUR/USD consolidation on what should be a quieter day. 1.0290-1.0330 may well be the extent of the EUR/US range.”

GBP/USD: Significant support level at 1.2300 can be out of reach – UOB Group

EUR/USD: Below 1.0255 before further losses can be expected – UOB Group

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