Euro (EUR) jumped overnight on headlines that Trump is not planning to impose new tariffs yet, Scotiabank’s Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.

Headlines to drive 2-way trades in the near term

“In the near term, we may see further unwinding of EUR shorts should Trump leave universal tariffs alone in the interim. EUR may even have a good chance of trading higher should ZEW survey expectations come in better than expected later today.”

“Daily momentum is mild bullish while RSI rose. Risks remain skewed to the upside. Key resistance at 1.0440 (50 DMA). Break out exposes the pair to 1.05, 1.0570 levels (38.2% fibo retracement of Sep high to Jan low). Support at 1.0340 (21 DMA), 1.0240, 1.02 (recent low). Expect headlines to drive 2-way trades in the near term.”