A rally in Silver markets will catalyze large-scale CTA buying activity, TDS’ Senior Commodity Strategist Daniel Ghali notes.

Upside convexity in Silver markets remains severely underpriced

“Continued algo selling activity isn't out of the question just yet, but considering the unique implications of fast-draining LBMA inventories, the XAU/XAG ratio at multi-year highs and an imminently strong outlook for gold flows, discretionary fund positioning essentially flat, and SHFE aggregate open interest at multiyear lows, the set-up in Silver markets is akin to a powder keg waiting for a spark to ignite.”

“Explosive upside convexity in Silver markets remains severely underpriced, and the evidence continues to suggest the market is sleepwalking into a silversqueeze. Comex inventories have now risen by nearly 30 million ounces since the start of the year, which in all likelihood has eroded a significant portion of the ~55 million ounce buffer between the LBMA's free float and its long-term average daily trading volume.”