GBP/USD has been dragged higher by the fiscal re-rating of Europe, ING's FX analyst Chris Turner notes.

EUR/GBP to consolidate in the 08350/8400 area

"That has not had too much impact on the pricing of the Bank of England easing cycle this year, where the market continues to price around a further 50-60bp of rate cuts. Next big local inputs to the UK story come at the 20 March BoE meeting (no change expected) and the 26 March Spring Statement from Chancellor Rachel Reeves - which we see as a sterling negative event risk."

"Before then, we could see EUR/GBP consolidate in the 08350/8400 area. Risks look evenly skewed here to the upside with more positive developments out of Europe/ECB re-pricing or to the downside with a refocus on looming tariffs. For GBP/USD, the upside looks a little more difficult and it may struggle to breach resistance at 1.2925/3000 near term."