Market news

8 May 2017
  • 22:30

    Currencies. Daily history for May 08’2017:

    (pare/closed(GMT +2)/change, %)

    EUR/USD $1,0921 -0,71%

    GBP/USD $1,2938 -0,33%

    USD/CHF Chf0,9988 +1,15%

    USD/JPY Y113,26 +0,50%

    EUR/JPY Y123,70 -0,20%

    GBP/JPY Y146,54 +0,18%

    AUD/USD $0,7383 -0,43%

    NZD/USD $0,6907 -0,19%

    USD/CAD C$1,3695 +0,34%

  • 21:59

    Schedule for today, Tuesday, May 09’2017 (GMT0)

    00:00 Japan Labor Cash Earnings, YoY March 0.4%

    01:30 Australia Retail Sales, M/M March -0.1% 0.3%

    05:45 Switzerland Unemployment Rate (non s.a.) April 3.4%

    06:00 Germany Current Account March 20.4

    06:00 Germany Industrial Production s.a. (MoM) March 2.2% -0.6%

    06:00 Germany Trade Balance (non s.a.), bln March 19.9

    09:30 Australia Annual Budget Release

    12:30 Canada Building Permits (MoM) March -2.5%

    13:00 U.S. FOMC Member Kashkari Speaks

    14:00 U.S. Wholesale Inventories March 0.4% -0.1%

    14:00 U.S. JOLTs Job Openings March 5.743

    17:00 U.S. FOMC Member Rosengren Speaks

    20:15 U.S. FOMC Member Kaplan Speak

  • 14:41

    Bullard says low growth in labor force and worker productivity, and high demand for safe assets, to continue to anchor rates at low level

  • 14:16

    Fed's Mester: outsized reaction to french election could have affected U.S economy in short run

    • Election of Macron in France more positive for integration of Europe

    • French presidential election alleviates some concerns

    • Weak recent gdp, inflation data likely transitory

  • 14:14

    U.S. interest rates futures hold at session lows after Fed's labor market conditions index in April

  • 14:11

    U.S.: Labor Market Conditions Index, April 3.5

  • 13:48

    Option expiries for today's 10:00 ET NY cut

    EURUSD: 1.0850 (EUR 312m) 1.0875 (770m) 1.0900 (695m) 1.1000 (379m) 1.1050 (298m) 1.1150 (580m)

    USDJPY: 111.25-30 (541m) 111.50 (267m) 112.00 (546m) 112.50 (204m) 113.00 (187m)

    GBPUSD: 1.2850 (GBP 448m) 1.2900 (181m) 1.3010 (192m)

    EURGBP: 0.8475 (EUR 170m)

    USDCHF: 0.9940-50 (USD 290m) 1.0000 (180m)

    USDCAD: 1.3500 (363m) 1.3550 (550m) 1.3600 (280m)

    AUDUSD: 0.7340 (AUD 248m) 0.7400 (410m) 0.7540 (313m) 0.7600 (332m)

  • 13:28

    OPEC, Non-OPEC Producers Are Considering Extending Supply Cut For ‘9-Months Or More’ @LiveSquawk

  • 12:18

    Canadian housing starts are trending higher in April

    Housing starts are trending higher at 213,768 units in April 2017, compared to 210,702 units in March 2017, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC). This trend measure is a six-month moving average of the monthly seasonally adjusted annual rates (SAAR) of housing starts.

    "New housing construction increased in Canada, with seasonally adjusted data exceeding 200,000 units for five months in a row", said Bob Dugan, CMHC's Chief Economist. "The increase in the trend was mainly due to apartment construction in British Columbia and Québec, which was partly offset by a decline in Ontario's multiple starts."

  • 12:16

    Canada: Housing Starts, April 214.1

  • 11:59

    Orders

    EUR/USD

    Offers: 1.0985 1.1000 1.1030 1.1050 1.1080 1.1100 1.1130 1.1150

    Bids: 1.0950-55 1.0920 1.0900 1.0870 1.0850 1.0820 1 .0800 1.0780 1.0750 1.0700


    GBP/USD

    Offers: 1.3000 1.3020 1.3050 1.3080 1.3100

    Bids: 1.2950 1.2920 1.2900 1.2880 1.2850 1.2830 1.2800


    EUR/JPY

    Offers: 123.75 124.00 124.30 124.50 124.80 125.00

    Bids: 123.20 123.00 122.80 122.50 122.35 122.20 122.00


    EUR/GBP

    Offers: 0.8450 0.8465 0.8480-85 0.8500 0.8530 0.8550

    Bids: 0.8530-35 0.8400 0.8385 0.8350 0.8300


    USD/JPY

    Offers: 112.85 113.00-05 113.20 113.50 113.80 114.00

    Bids: 112.45-50 112.20 112.00 111.80 111.50 111.30 111.00


    AUD/USD

    Offers: 0.7425 0.7550-55 0.7480 0.7500

    Bids: 0.7400 0.7385 0.7365 0.7350 0.7335 0.7300

  • 11:40

    Fitch - victory of Emmanuel Macron over Marine Le Pen in french presidential election removes risk of near-term political shock to France, wider Europe

    • French election reduces political risk; challenges ahead

    • French election result supports Fitch's assumption that France will remain a member of EU and Eurozone

    • No immediate rating impact on four Italian OBG from bank downgrades


  • 10:45

    UK PM Theresa May says wants to bring net immigration down to sustainable level of tens of thousands

  • 10:29

    German foreign ministry spokesman says no time should be lost in supporting France to implement economic reforms and strengthen role in Europe

  • 09:26

    The Euro area economy continues to be in good shape says Sentix

    The sentix economic index for the Euro area rises to 27.4 points, the highest since July 2007. These assessments are increasingly supported by the current situation assessment, which reached the highest level since January 2008, with 34.5 points. It is even better in Germany. Here, the current situation judgment reaches 61.3 points the fifth largest ever measured value. Quite different is the situation in the US, where investors are increasingly looking at the economic outlook. US economic expectations are falling again.

    The Euroland economy is still very well estimated by investors. The overall Euroland index climbs to 27.4 points, the highest since July 2007.

    This assessment is increasingly based on the assessment of the situation, which has risen to 34.5 points for the fifth time in a row.

    The development in Europe thus decouples strongly from the US economic assessment, which is again declining. With 5.8 points the expectations are only just above the stagnation threshold! There are also signs of fatigue in Asia ex Japan.

  • 08:33

    Eurozone: Sentix Investor Confidence, May 27.4

  • 08:29

    Macron economic adviser Pisani-Ferry says Macron will certainly not want to punish britain - BBC

    • Says Macron will be tough in Brexit negotiations

    • No one has interest in hard Brexit

  • 08:15

    Forex option contracts rolling off today at 14.00 GMT:

    EURUSD: 1.0850 (EUR 312m) 1.0875 (770m) 1.0900 (695m) 1.1000 (379m) 1.1050 (298m) 1.1150 (580m)

    USDJPY: 111.25-30 (541m) 111.50 (267m) 112.00 (546m) 112.50 (204m) 113.00 (187m)

    GBPUSD: 1.2850 (GBP 448m) 1.2900 (181m) 1.3010 (192m)

    EURGBP: 0.8475 (EUR 170m)

    USDCHF: 0.9940-50 (USD 290m) 1.0000 (180m)

    USDCAD: 1.3500 (363m) 1.3550 (550m) 1.3600 (280m)

    AUDUSD: 0.7340 (AUD 248m) 0.7400 (410m) 0.7540 (313m) 0.7600 (332m)

  • 07:36

    UK house prices rose 3.8% on year. GBP/USD unchanged

    House prices in the three months to April were 3.8% higher than in the same period a year ago; the same as in March.

    Prices in the three months to April were 0.2% lower than in the preceding quarter.

    Martin Ellis, Halifax housing economist, said: "House prices have stagnated over the past three months. Overall, prices in the three months to April were marginally lower than in the preceding three months; the first quarterly decline since November 2012. The annual rate of growth remained at 3.8% in April, the lowest rate since May 2013. "Housing demand appears to have been curbed in recent months due to the deterioration in housing affordability caused by a sustained period of rapid house price growth during 2014-16. Signs of a decline in the pace of job creation, and the beginnings of a squeeze on households' finances as a result of increasing inflation, may also be constraining the demand for homes.

  • 07:30

    United Kingdom: Halifax house price index 3m Y/Y, April 3.8% (forecast 3.6%)

  • 07:30

    United Kingdom: Halifax house price index, April -0.1% (forecast 0.2%)

  • 06:52

    U.S. Commerce chief says Canadian trade threats 'inappropriate' - Reuters

  • 06:51

    Australian building approvals fell over 13%

    The trend estimate for total dwellings approved rose 0.8% in March after falling for nine months.

    The seasonally adjusted estimate for total dwellings approved fell 13.4% in March after rising for two months.

    The trend estimate for private sector houses approved fell 0.6% in March and has fallen for 12 months.

    The seasonally adjusted estimate for private sector houses fell 4.3% in March following a rise of 5.0% in the previous month.

  • 06:49

    German factory orders up 1.0% in March, as expected

    Based on provisional data, the Federal Statistical Office (Destatis) reports that price-adjusted new orders in manufacturing had increased in March 2017 a seasonally and working-day adjusted 1.0% on February 2017. For February 2017, revision of the preliminary outcome resulted in an increase of 3.5% compared with January 2017 (primary +3.4%). Price-adjusted new orders without major orders in manufacturing had increased in March 2017 a seasonally and working-day adjusted 0.6% on February 2017.

    In March 2017, domestic orders decreased by 3.8% while foreign orders increased by 4.8% on the previous month. New orders from the euro area were up 6.8% on the previous month, new orders from other countries increased 3.5% compared to February 2017.

    In March 2017 the manufacturers of intermediate goods saw new orders fall by 3.7% compared with February 2017. The manufacturers of capital goods showed increases of 3.7% on the previous month. For consumer goods, an increase in new orders of 5.5% was recorded.

  • 06:47

    What you need to know about Emmanuel Macron

    There were 11 candidates in this year's French election. Three were EU-skeptic and the rest eight were pro-EU. So, how much pro-EU is Emmanuel Macron?

    He is the candidate, who favors the European Union and wants further integration within the bloc to make the cementing stronger.

    One of the biggest drawbacks of the European Union is that it is not a political union and Macron is one of the few who would like to remove that obstacle probably by giving up parts of the French sovereignty if others join in too.

    He is an EU-optimist. While many remain skeptical towards the European Union in the current scenario, he believes that good days of the EU are ahead and he believes that the union could become even stronger under the right leadership.

  • 06:37

    Emmanuel Macron Elected President Of France With 65% Of The Vote

  • 06:00

    Germany: Factory Orders s.a. (MoM), March 1.0% (forecast 1%)

  • 05:16

    Japan: Consumer Confidence, April 43.2

  • 04:55

    Options levels on monday, May 8, 2017

    EUR/USD

    Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

    $1.1117 (8361)

    $1.1077 (3622)

    $1.1051 (3641)

    Price at time of writing this review: $1.0969

    Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

    $1.0894 (1648)

    $1.0834 (3082)

    $1.0760 (4411)


    Comments:

    - Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date June, 9 is 80933 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1000 (8361);

    - Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date June, 9 is 85520 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,0200 (5696);

    - The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.06 versus 1.06 from the previous trading day according to data from May, 5

    GBP/USD

    Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

    $1.3303 (998)

    $1.3204 (1836)

    $1.3107 (2277)

    Price at time of writing this review: $1.2959

    Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

    $1.2892 (1165)

    $1.2795 (1774)

    $1.2697 (1445)


    Comments:

    - Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date June, 9 is 30816 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3000 (3412);

    - Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date June, 9 is 33050 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,2500 (3083);

    - The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.07 versus 1.13 from the previous trading day according to data from May, 5

    * - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

    ** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

  • 04:22

    China: Trade Balance, bln, April 38.05 (forecast 35.5)

  • 02:01

    Australia: National Australia Bank's Business Confidence, April 13

  • 01:31

    Australia: ANZ Job Advertisements (MoM), April 1.4%

  • 01:30

    Australia: Building Permits, m/m, March -13.4% (forecast -4%)

8 May 2017
Market Focus
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