Market news

14 September 2017
  • 22:30

    New Zealand: Business NZ PMI, August 57.9

  • 22:27

    Currencies. Daily history for Sep 14’2017:

    (pare/closed(GMT +3)/change, %)

    EUR/USD $1,9133 +1,45%

    GBP/USD $1,3395 +1,42%

    USD/CHF Chf0,96308 -0,09%

    USD/JPY Y110,22 -0,25%

    EUR/JPY Y131,33 -0,02%

    GBP/JPY Y147,649 +1,18%

    AUD/USD $0,7998 +0,19%

    NZD/USD $0,7224 -0,19%

    USD/CAD C$1,21745 +0,03%

  • 22:00

    Schedule for today, Friday, Sep 15’2017 (GMT0)

    09:00 Eurozone Trade balance unadjusted July 26.6 21.4

    11:00 United Kingdom BOE Quarterly Bulletin

    12:30 U.S. Retail sales excluding auto August 0.5% 0.5%

    12:30 U.S. Retail Sales YoY August 4.2%

    12:30 U.S. Retail sales August 0.6% 0.1%

    12:30 U.S. NY Fed Empire State manufacturing index September 25.2 19

    13:15 U.S. Capacity Utilization August 76.7% 76.8%

    13:15 U.S. Industrial Production (MoM) August 0.2% 0.1%

    13:15 U.S. Industrial Production YoY August 2.2%

    14:00 U.S. Reuters/Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (Preliminary) September 96.8 95.1

    14:00 U.S. Business inventories July 0.5% 0.2%

    17:00 U.S. Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count September 756

  • 14:22

    U.S. 30-yr fixed rate mortgages 3.78 pct sept 14 week vs 3.78 pct prior week Freddie Mac

  • 14:02

    Kremlin says U.S. action against Kaspersky lab calls into question reliability of United States as partners

    • U.S. action against Kaspersky lab aims to undermine competitive position of russian firms worldwide, amounts to unfair competition

  • 13:48

    Forex option contracts rolling off today at 14.00 GMT:

    EURUSD: 1.1735 (650m) 1.1810-20 (1.03bln) 1.1900 (1.1bln) 1.2000 (1.1bln) 1.2020-25 (585m)

    USDJPY: 109.10 (USD 550m) 109.65 (790m) 110.00 (310m) 110.45-50 (1.07bln) 111.00 (895m)

    GBPUSD: Nothing of note

    AUDUSD: 0.8000 (AUD 300m) 0.8010 (1.8bln)

    NZDUSD: 0.7250 (NZD 240m) 0.7300 (205m)

  • 13:12

    Federal funds futures imply traders see over 50 pct chance Fed raising rates at dec 12-13 meeting, first time since july - CME group's Fedwatch

  • 12:41

    US initial jobless claims declined in the previous week

    In the week ending September 9, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 284,000, a decrease of 14,000 from the previous week's unrevised level of 298,000. The 4-week moving average was 263,250, an increase of 13,000 from the previous week's unrevised average of 250,250. This is the highest level for this average since August 13, 2016 when it was 263,250.

    Hurricanes Harvey and Irma impacted this week's initial claims.

  • 12:39

    Canadian new house price index rose more than expected in July

    Market conditions in Vancouver contributed to ongoing strength in that census metropolitan area (CMA), and helped drive new home prices up 0.4% nationally in July.

    New house prices in Vancouver continued their upward trend, rising 2.0% from June to July. Prices have grown 7.7% in the CMA since the start of the year due to strong demand for housing. First-time home buyers have been eligible for a loan of up to 5% (to a maximum of $37,500) of a home's purchase price under the B.C. Home Partnership program introduced in January.

    Toronto reported no change in new home prices for the second consecutive month. With the exception of Hamilton (+1.5%) and London (+0.9%), prices remained muted in the rest of Southern Ontario as well.

    Overall, prices were up in 12 metropolitan areas and were unchanged in the other 15.

  • 12:35

    US Consumer Price Index rose 0.4 percent in August

    The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) rose 0.4 percent in August on a seasonally adjusted basis, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index rose 1.9 percent.
    Increases in the indexes for gasoline and shelter accounted for nearly all of the seasonally adjusted increase in the all items index. The energy index rose
    2.8 percent in August as the gasoline index increased 6.3 percent. The shelter index rose 0.5 percent in August with the rent index up 0.4 percent. The food index rose slightly in August, with the index for food away from home increasing and the food at home index declining.
    The index for all items less food and energy rose 0.2 percent in August. Along with the shelter index, the indexes for motor vehicle insurance, medical care,and recreation all increased in August. The indexes for airline fares and for used cars and trucks were among those that declined in August.

  • 12:30

    Canada: New Housing Price Index, YoY, July 3.8%

  • 12:30

    U.S.: Initial Jobless Claims, 284 (forecast 300)

  • 12:30

    U.S.: Continuing Jobless Claims, 1944 (forecast 1985)

  • 12:30

    U.S.: CPI excluding food and energy, m/m, August 0.2% (forecast 0.2%)

  • 12:30

    U.S.: CPI, m/m , August 0.4% (forecast 0.3%)

  • 12:30

    U.S.: CPI excluding food and energy, Y/Y, August 1.7% (forecast 1.6%)

  • 12:30

    U.S.: CPI, Y/Y, August 1.9% (forecast 1.8%)

  • 12:30

    Canada: New Housing Price Index, MoM, July 0.4% (forecast 0.3%)

  • 12:00

    Sterling jumps 1 percent on day to hit new one-year high of $1.3339 after BoE decision

  • 11:17

    Britain's 10-year gilt yield rises 2.5 basis points to highest in over 5 weeks at 1.176 percent

  • 11:10

    All MPC members judge that policy could need to be tightened faster than market expects if economy grows as forecast

    • BoE expects gdp growth of +0.3 pct qq in q3 2017, unchanged from aug forecast, stronger consumption possible

    • Says considerable risks remain, including response of households, businesses and markets to brexit process

    • Policymakers Ian Mccafferty and Michael Saunders voted to raise rates to 0.50 pct

    • Most of MPC judge some withdrawal of stimulus likely "over the coming months" if growth continues and underlying price pressures rise

    • All MPC members agree any bank rate increases would be at a gradual pace and to a limited extent

  • 11:07

    BoE says inflation likely to rise above 3 pct in oct, compared with aug forecast of peak around 3 pct

  • 11:04

    Bank of England holds the interest rate at 0.25%

    The Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) sets monetary policy to meet the 2% inflation target, and in a way that helps to sustain growth and employment. At its meeting ending on 13 September 2017, the MPC voted by a majority of 7-2 to maintain Bank Rate at 0.25%. The Committee voted unanimously to maintain the stock of sterling non-financial investment-grade corporate bond purchases, financed by the issuance of central bank reserves, at £10 billion. The Committee voted unanimously to maintain the stock of UK government bond purchases, financed by the issuance of central bank reserves, at £435 billion.

  • 11:00

    United Kingdom: Asset Purchase Facility, 435 (forecast 435)

  • 11:00

    United Kingdom: BoE Interest Rate Decision, 0.25% (forecast 0.25%)

  • 09:42

    Bank of England’s decision on interest rate the main event of the day. 2 out of 7 MPC members expected to vote for a rate hike. Decision at 12:00 GMT

  • 09:01

    ECB’s Jazbec: More Data Needed To Confirm What ECB Is Doing Is In Line With Mandate - Reuters

  • 08:47

    Fitch says China is not likely to be able to achieve a complete ban of sales of conventional fossil-fuel-powered vehicles within next 20 years

  • 08:08

    Swedish Central Bank's Jansson says there is good reason to believe we will not return to the same interest rate levels as before the global financial crisis

  • 07:54

    The Swiss National Bank (SNB) is maintaining its expansionary monetary policy. Holds interest on sight deposits at -0.75%

    The Swiss National Bank (SNB) is maintaining its expansionary monetary policy, with the aim of stabilising price developments and supporting economic activity. Interest on sight deposits at the SNB is to remain at -0.75% and the target range for the three-month Libor is unchanged at between -1.25% and -0.25%. The SNB will remain active in the foreign exchange market as necessary, while taking the overall currency situation into consideration. Since the last monetary policy assessment, the Swiss franc has weakened against the euro and appreciated against the dollar. Overall, this development is helping to reduce, to some extent, the significant overvaluation of the currency. The Swiss franc nevertheless remains highly valued, and the situation on the foreign exchange market is still fragile. The negative interest rate and the SNB's willingness to intervene in the foreign exchange market as necessary therefore remain essential in order to reduce the attractiveness of Swiss franc investments and thus ease pressure on the currency.

  • 07:30

    Switzerland: SNB Interest Rate Decision, -0.75% (forecast -0.75%)

  • 07:11

    French Consumer Prices Index (CPI) recovered by 0.5% over a month

    In August 2017, the Consumer Prices Index (CPI) recovered by 0.5% over a month, after a decline of 0.3% in July. Seasonally adjusted, it increased by 0.2% after two months of stability. Year on year, consumer prices accelerated to +0.9% after +0.7% in July.

    Over a month, the rebound in prices resulted from that, seasonal, of manufactured product prices, and also from an upturn in energy prices. Contrariwise, services prices slowed down sharply due to a seasonal downturn in airfares and a slowdown in those of accommodation services. Food prices were stable.

  • 07:01

    France: CPI, y/y, August 0.9% (forecast 0.9%)

  • 06:49

    Options levels on thursday, September 14, 2017

    EUR/USD

    Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

    $1.2016 (3095)

    $1.1979 (1451)

    $1.1944 (421)

    Price at time of writing this review: $1.1881

    Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

    $1.1817 (3818)

    $1.1788 (2584)

    $1.1754 (3624)


    Comments:

    - Overall open interest on the CALL options and PUT options with the expiration date October, 6 is 93529 contracts (according to data from September, 13) with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1900 (3818);


    GBP/USD

    Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

    $1.3356 (2960)

    $1.3310 (2201)

    $1.3268 (1543)

    Price at time of writing this review: $1.3211

    Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

    $1.3151 (623)

    $1.3104 (1030)

    $1.3042 (1280)


    Comments:

    - Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date October, 6 is 26401 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3250 (2960);

    - Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date September, 8 is 27748 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,2950 (2503);

    - The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.05 versus 1.07 from the previous trading day according to data from September, 13

    * - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

    ** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

  • 06:45

    France: CPI, m/m, August 0.5% (forecast 0.5%)

  • 06:41

    U.S. Treasury secretary Mnuchin says tax cuts can be paid for through economic growth - Fox news interview

    • says tax reform will be revenue neutral under administration's growth assumptions


  • 06:40

    Australian 10-year bond yields surge to 7-week high post promising August employment report

  • 06:37

    Australia's trend estimate of employment increased by 27,100 persons in August

    Australia's trend estimate of employment increased by 27,100 persons in August 2017,

    with:

    • the number of unemployed persons decreasing by 2,200 persons;

    • the unemployment rate remaining steady at 5.6 per cent;

    • the participation rate increasing by 0.1 percentage points to 65.2 per cent; and

    • the employment to population ratio increasing by 0.1 percentage points to

    61.5 per cent.

    Over the past year, trend employment increased by 307,300 persons (or 2.6 per cent).

    Over the same 12 month period the trend employment to population ratio, which is a

    measure of how employed the population (aged 15 years and over) is, increased by

    0.6 percentage points to 61.5 per cent, the highest it has been since February 2013

  • 06:31

    New Zealand Labour maintains four point lead over National, could govern with Greens: New 1 NEWS Colmar Brunton poll

  • 05:16

    Japan: Industrial Production (YoY), July 4.7% (forecast 4.7%)

  • 04:46

    Japan: Industrial Production (MoM) , July -0.8% (forecast -0.8%)

  • 02:00

    China: Fixed Asset Investment, August 7.8% (forecast 8.2%)

  • 02:00

    China: Industrial Production y/y, August 6.0% (forecast 6.6%)

  • 02:00

    China: Retail Sales y/y, August 10.1% (forecast 10.5%)

  • 01:31

    Australia: Changing the number of employed, August 54.2 (forecast 15)

  • 01:30

    Australia: Unemployment rate, August 5.6% (forecast 5.6%)

  • 01:00

    Australia: Consumer Inflation Expectation, September 3.8%

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