Market news

21 November 2017
  • 23:30

    Australia: Leading Index, October 0.1%

  • 23:25

    Currencies. Daily history for Nov 21’2017:

    (pare/closed(GMT +3)/change, %)

    EUR/USD $1,1737 +0,04%

    GBP/USD $1,3236 +0,02%

    USD/CHF Chf0,99131 -0,20%

    USD/JPY Y112,42 -0,17%

    EUR/JPY Y131,96 -0,12%

    GBP/JPY Y148,808 -0,15%

    AUD/USD $0,7577 +0,36%

    NZD/USD $0,6825 +0,29%

    USD/CAD C$1,27767 -0,33%

  • 22:52

    Schedule for today, Wednesday, Nov 22’2017 (GMT0)

    00:30 Australia Construction Work Done Quarter III 9.3% -2.3%

    12:30 United Kingdom Autumn Forecast Statement

    13:30 U.S. Continuing Jobless Claims 1860 1

    13:30 U.S. Durable Goods Orders October 2.2% 0.3%

    13:30 U.S. Durable Goods Orders ex Transportation October 0.7% 0.5%

    13:30 U.S. Durable goods orders ex defense October 2.0% 0.9%

    13:30 U.S. Initial Jobless Claims 249 240

    15:00 Eurozone Consumer Confidence (Preliminary) November -1 -1.0

    15:00 U.S. Reuters/Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (Finally) November 100.7 98

    15:30 U.S. Crude Oil Inventories November 1.854 -2.167

    18:00 U.S. Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count 738

    19:00 U.S. FOMC meeting minutes

    21:45 New Zealand Retail Sales YoY Quarter III 5.4%

    21:45 New Zealand Retail Sales, q/q Quarter III 2.0% 0.4%

  • 21:45

    New Zealand: Visitor Arrivals, October 3.90%

  • 15:13

    U.S existing-home sales increased in October to their strongest pace since earlier this summer

    Existing-home sales increased in October to their strongest pace since earlier this summer, but continual supply shortages led to fewer closings on an annual basis for the second straight month, according to the National Association of Realtors.

    Total existing-home sales, which are completed transactions that include single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, increased 2.0 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.48 million in October from a downwardly revised 5.37 million in September. After last month's increase, sales are at their strongest pace since June (5.51 million), but still remain 0.9 percent below a year ago.

  • 15:00

    U.S.: Existing Home Sales , October 5.48 (forecast 5.43)

  • 14:49

    Swedish C.Bank's Jochnick says recent weakening of swedish crown probably temporary effect

  • 13:50

    Forex option contracts rolling off today at 14.00 GMT:

    EURUSD: 1.1700 (EUR 615m) 1.1750 (400m)

    USDJPY: 112.00 (1.1bln) 112.20-25 (695m) 113.25 (460m) 115.00 ($950m)

    GBPUSD: 1.3150 (GBP 280m)

    AUDUSD: None of note

    USDCAD: 1.2700 (USD 320m) 1.2750 (1.52bln) 1.2900 (580m)

  • 13:40

    Canadian wholesale sales declined 1.2% to $62.0 billion in September

    Following two months of increases, wholesale sales declined 1.2% to $62.0 billion in September, the second decline of 2017. Decreases were recorded in five of seven subsectors, led by the personal and household goods and the food, beverage and tobacco subsectors.

    In volume terms, wholesale sales declined 1.1%.

    In the third quarter, current dollar wholesale sales increased 1.5% while constant dollar sales increased 2.0%. For both current and constant dollars, this marked the sixth consecutive quarterly increase.

    The personal and household goods subsector reported the largest decline in dollar terms in September, dropping 4.8% to $8.6 billion. This was the first decline since November 2016 and more than offsets the 3.2% increase in August. All but one industry in this subsector reported declines in September, led by the textile, clothing and footwear industry.

  • 13:30

    Canada: Wholesale Sales, m/m, September -1.2% (forecast 0.6%)

  • 13:30

    U.S.: Chicago Federal National Activity Index, October 0.65 (forecast 0.20)

  • 12:45

    Bank of England's Vlieghe says downturn in business surveys, not simply slow progress in Brexit talks, would be needed for BoE to drop assumption of smooth Brexit transition

  • 12:17

    UK PM May says we are ready to move on to future relationship talks with EU

    • Believes an agreement can be reached between N.Irish parties

    • Wants to see more talks next week between N.Irish parties

  • 11:23

    Bank of England MPC's McCafferty says unwinding of QE unlikely to happen in the near future

  • 11:15

    UK manufacturers are once more performing strongly - CBI

    Anna Leach, CBI Head of Economic Intelligence, said:

    "UK manufacturers are once more performing strongly as global growth and the lower level of sterling continue to support demand. Output growth has picked up again, and export order books match the highest in more than 20 years.

    "Nonetheless, uncertainty continues to hold back investment and cost pressures remain strong. Manufacturers will be hoping the Budget brings some relief from the business rates burden in particular."

  • 11:00

    United Kingdom: CBI industrial order books balance, November 17 (forecast 3)

  • 10:49

    Bank of England MPC's Vlieghe says if you wait until all the signs line up to support a rate rise, you will almost certainly be too late

  • 10:07

    RBA's Lowe says "more likely" next move in rates is up rather than down. AUD/USD rally

    • Board paying more attention to weak growth in wages, household incomes

    • This means that a continuation of accommodative monetary policy is appropriate

    • But still short of full employment, inflation to remain below average for some time yet

    • More confident that economy will pick up as expected, weakening case for lower rates

    • Household consumption held back by weak income growth, high debt

    • Gentle upswing in business investment underway, forward indicators suggest will

  • 09:56

    UK public sector net borrowing decreased by £4.1 billion to £38.5 billion in the current financial year-to-date

    Public sector net borrowing (excluding public sector banks) decreased by £4.1 billion to £38.5 billion in the current financial year-to-date (April 2017 to October 2017), compared with the same period in 2016; this is the lowest year-to-date net borrowing since 2007.

    Public sector net borrowing (excluding public sector banks) increased by £0.5 billion to £8.0 billion in October 2017, compared with October 2016.

    The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) forecast that public sector net borrowing (excluding public sector banks) will be £58.3 billion during the financial year ending March 2018, an increase of £12.5 billion on the outturn net borrowing in the financial year ending March 2017.

    Public sector net debt (excluding public sector banks) was £1,790.4 billion at the end of October 2017, equivalent to 87.2% of gross domestic product (GDP), an increase of £147.8 billion (or 4.5 percentage points as a ratio of GDP) on October 2016.

  • 09:30

    United Kingdom: PSNB, bln, October -7.46 (forecast -6.6)

  • 09:16

    Swiss foreign trade continued to grow in October

    Foreign trade continued to grow in October 2017, exports are up by 5% on a working day adjusted basis and imports by 7%. Against- However, growth slowed slightly over the previous months. In the Trade balance resulted in a surplus of CHF 2.4 billion.

    Compared to the same month of the previous year, exports increased in October 2017 on a working day adjusted basis by 5.0% (real: + 2.3%). Relative to September 2017, exports declined seasonally adjusted, however, fell by 2.0%. As a result, export growth has slowed down the record level in May of this year slightly.

  • 09:15

    Russian foreign minister Lavrov says resignations of radical Syrian opposition figures will help unite internal and external opposition

  • 09:13

    Major stock exchanges in Europe trading in the red zone: FTSE 7374.88 -14.58 -0.20%, DAX 13043.31 -15.35 -0.12%, CAC 5332.15 -8.30 -0.16%

  • 09:01

    Forex option contracts rolling off today at 14.00 GMT:

    EUR/USD: 1.1700(613 m), 1.1750(396 m)

    GBP/USD: 1.3150(278 m)

    USD/JPY: 112.00(1.08 b), 112.20-25(692 m), 113.25(456 m), 115.00(948 m)

    USD/CAD: 1.2700(320 m), 1.2750(1.52 b), 1.2900(580 m)

  • 07:59

    Options levels on tuesday, November 21, 2017

    EUR/USD

    Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

    $1.1844 (6190)

    $1.1815 (3058)

    $1.1777 (3832)

    Price at time of writing this review: $1.1731

    Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

    $1.1684 (3373)

    $1.1657 (6038)

    $1.1623 (6119)


    Comments:

    - Overall open interest on the CALL options and PUT options with the expiration date December, 8 is 157692 contracts (according to data from November, 20) with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1500 (8429);


    GBP/USD

    Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

    $1.3338 (2748)

    $1.3316 (3353)

    $1.3299 (1769)

    Price at time of writing this review: $1.3263

    Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

    $1.3232 (852)

    $1.3201 (587)

    $1.3182 (1122)


    Comments:

    - Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date December, 8 is 41739 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3200 (3353);

    - Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date December, 8 is 40816 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3000 (3981);

    - The ratio of PUT/CALL was 0.98 versus 0.98 from the previous trading day according to data from November, 20

    * - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

    ** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

  • 07:00

    Switzerland: Trade Balance, October 2.333 (forecast 3)

  • 06:56

    French president Macron says winning European Banking Agency seat is recognition for France's attractiveness and european commitment

  • 06:36

    U.K. Panel is said to move toward GBP40b brexit offer - ITV

  • 06:35

    Trump says treasury department will announce further sanctions against North Korea today

  • 06:34

    Fed chair Yellen announces she will also leave board of governors seat when successor Jerome Powell is sworn in

    • Yellen would be eligible to continue as a Fed governor until 2024 even after her term as chair expires in february

  • 06:33

    BoE's Ramsden, asked about unwinding QE, says considerations won't come into play until bank rate is at level from which can be materially cut, so around 150 basis points

  • 06:31

    RBA: rising participation meant jobless rate to fall only slightly to 5.25 pct by end 2019

    • Local labour market had been surprisingly strong, above-average jobs growth likely to continue

    • Housing market had eased in all major cities, still relatively strong in Melbourne

    • Noted importance of data and "evidence-based policymaking" in lifting productivity

    • Expected gdp growth of around 3 pct over next few years, subdued productivity

  • 06:30

    RBA minutes: board judged steady policy consistent with inflation, growth goals

    • "Considerable uncertainty" on how quickly wages might pick up, add to inflation

    • Competitive pressures on retail margins and costs expected to last for some while

    • Pass-through to inflation could be delayed by many factors including retail competition

    • Any further rise in a$ would slow expected pick-up in inflation, economy

    • Board discussed global trend of wages growth lagging unemployment

  • 06:28

    10-year U.S. treasury yield at 2.366 percent vs U.S. close of 2.370 percent on Monday

  • 06:27

    Putin tells Assad that peaceful political settlement in Syria is key issue after fight against terrorism is over - Kremlin

  • 04:32

    Japan: All Industry Activity Index, m/m, September -0.5% (forecast -0.4%)

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