Market news

25 August 2017
  • 17:02

    U.S.: Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count, August 759

  • 14:34

    US treasury yields fall after Yellen comments, 10-year note yields fall to 2.18%

  • 14:12

    Yellen acknowledges criticism of reforms since crisis but says they have made financial system safer

    • 'Core' reforms have boosted financial resilience without limiting credit, growth

    • Some reforms may be affecting market liquidity

    • Open to reviewing Volcker rule, supplementary leverage ratio

    • Cites private-sector signals that banks are safer

  • 14:10

    Yellen says any adjustments to U.S. financial regulations should be only modest, does not mention monetary policy in prepared remarks at Jackson Hole

  • 14:08

    Yellen: research still limited, Fed will continue to evaluate effects of reforms

  • 13:57

    Federal funds futures imply traders see 44 pct chance Fed raising rates at dec 12-13 meeting - CME group's Fedwatch

  • 13:51

    Option expiries for today's 10:00 ET NY cut

    EUR/USD: 1.1600(946 млн), 1.1700(875 млн), 1.1750-55(409 млн)

    GBP/USD: 1.3100(509 млн)

    USD/JPY: 108.00(689 млн), 109.00(402 млн), 110.00(1.93 млрд)

    AUD/USD: 0.7700(A$590 млн), 0.7795-0.7800(442 млн), 0.7955(269 млн), 0.8000(275 млн)

    USD/CAD: 1.2500-15(687 млн)

    EUR/JPY: 128.00(403 млн), 130.00(690 млн), 130.50(521 млн)

  • 12:49

    Fed's Mester: labor markets continue to be strong, business investment a bright spot of economy this year - Bloomberg

  • 12:32

    US new orders for manufactured durable goods in July decreased $16.7 billion or 6.8%

    New orders for manufactured durable goods in July decreased $16.7 billion or 6.8 percent to $229.2 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau announced today. This decrease, down three of the last four months, followed a 6.4 percent June increase. Excluding transportation, new orders increased 0.5 percent. Excluding defense, new orders decreased 7.8 percent. Transportation equipment, also down three of the last four months, drove the decrease, $17.4 billion or 19.0 percent to $74.3 billion.

    Shipments of manufactured durable goods in July, up three consecutive months, increased $1.0 billion or 0.4 percent to $237.4 billion. This followed a virtually unchanged June increase. Transportation equipment, up two of the last three months, led the increase, $0.4 billion or 0.5 percent to $79.2 billion.

  • 12:30

    U.S.: Durable Goods Orders ex Transportation , July 0.5% (forecast 0.4%)

  • 12:30

    U.S.: Durable goods orders ex defense, July -7.8%

  • 12:30

    U.S.: Durable Goods Orders , July -6.8% (forecast -6%)

  • 11:36

    UK public's inflation expectations for year ahead +2.6 pct in aug vs +2.5 pct in july - Citi/Yougov

  • 09:36

    Support for german chancellor Merkel's conservatives at 39 pct, social democrats on 22 pct - Forschungsgruppe Wahlen

  • 09:07

    British foreign minister Johnson says we should pay not a penny more or a penny less than what we think our legal obligations amount to in Brexit bill talks - BBC

    • Thinks some of the sums for Brexit bill seem to be very high

    • Have to meet our legal obligations in EU talks on Brexit bill, but as we see those obligations

    • US presidential visit to Britain more likely in 2018 than this year

  • 08:31

    The ifo Business Climate Index for Germany edged downwards from 116.0 points last month to 115.9 points in August

    The ifo Business Climate Index edged downwards from 116.0 points last month to 115.9 points in August. But sentiment among German businesses remains very strong. The decline was due to slightly less positive assessments of the current business situation. Companies' short-term business outlook, by contrast, improved. Germany's economy remains on track for growth.

    In manufacturing the index once again broke last month's record. Companies were slightly less satisfied with their current business situation, which nevertheless remains strong. They expressed greater optimism about the short-term outlook. In the automotive sector cartel allegations and the diesel affair have not been reflected in the survey results to date, with the business climate index remaining at a very high level.

    In wholesaling the business climate deteriorated slightly. This was due to markedly poorer assessments of the current business situation. Business expectations, by contrast, were adjusted slightly upwards. In retailing the index dropped significantly. Retailers were clearly less satisfied with their current business situation. Their optimism about the short-term business outlook also waned. Car dealers were largely responsible for the downswing.

  • 08:16

    Forex option contracts rolling off today at 14.00 GMT:

    EUR/USD: 1.1600(946 m), 1.1700(875 m), 1.1750-55(409 m)

    GBP/USD: 1.3100(509 m)

    USD/JPY: 108.00(689 m), 109.00(402 m), 110.00(1.93 b)

    AUD/USD: 0.7700(A$590 m), 0.7795-0.7800(442 m), 0.7955(269 m), 0.8000(275 m)

    USD/CAD: 1.2500-15(687 m)

    EUR/JPY: 128.00(403 m), 130.00(690 m), 130.50(521 m)

  • 08:00

    Germany: IFO - Expectations , August 107.9 (forecast 106.8)

  • 08:00

    Germany: IFO - Current Assessment , August 124.6 (forecast 125)

  • 08:00

    Germany: IFO - Business Climate, August 115.9 (forecast 115.5)

  • 06:45

    France: Consumer confidence , August 103 (forecast 103)

  • 06:41

    Options levels on friday, August 25, 2017

    EUR/USD

    Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

    $1.1890 (4205)

    $1.1853 (2329)

    $1.1833 (2024)

    Price at time of writing this review: $1.1796

    Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

    $1.1752 (1321)

    $1.1728 (2540)

    $1.1699 (3219)


    Comments:

    - Overall open interest on the CALL options and PUT options with the expiration date September, 8 is 128122 contracts (according to data from August, 24) with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1600 (5162);


    GBP/USD

    Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

    $1.2936 (1521)

    $1.2904 (689)

    $1.2878 (709)

    Price at time of writing this review: $1.2804

    Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

    $1.2757 (2618)

    $1.2733 (2093)

    $1.2703 (1847)


    Comments:

    - Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date September, 8 is 35720 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3000 (3343);

    - Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date September, 8 is 31295 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,2850 (2618);

    - The ratio of PUT/CALL was 0.88 versus 0.88 from the previous trading day according to data from August, 24

    * - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

    ** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

  • 06:09

    German import prices down 0.4% in July

    As reported by the Federal Statistical Office (Destatis), the index of import prices fell by 1.9% in July 2017 compared with the corresponding month of the preceding year. In June 2017 and in May 2017 the annual rates of change were +2.5% and +4.1%, respectively. From June 2017 to July 2017 the index fell by 0.4%.

    The index of import prices, excluding crude oil and mineral oil products, increased by 1.7% compared with the level of a year earlier.

    The index of export prices increased by 1.5% in July 2017 compared with the corresponding month of the preceding year. In June 2017 and in May 2017 the annual rates of change were +1.8% and +2.2%, respectively. From June 2017 to July 2017 the export price index fell by 0.1%.

  • 06:08

    German gross domestic product (GDP) increased by 0.6% in Q2, as expected

    The German economy continues to grow. As the Federal Statistical Office (Destatis) already reported in its first release 277/17 of 15 August 2017, the gross domestic product (GDP) increased by 0.6% (after price, seasonal and calendar adjustment) in the second quarter of 2017 compared with the previous quarter. Most recent calculations show that GDP growth in the first quarter of 2017 had been slightly larger (0.7%).

    The quarter-on-quarter comparison following price, seasonal and calendar adjustment shows that, on the use side of the gross domestic product, positive contributions came from domestic demand. The final consumption expenditure of households rose considerably by 0.8% and government final consumption expenditure increased by 0.6% on the previous quarter. Capital formation, too, was again higher. Fixed capital formation in machinery and equipment increased by 1.2% and in construction by 0.9% on the first quarter of 2017. Overall, domestic uses increased markedly by one percent compared with the first three months of the year.

    As regards foreign demand, there were mixed signals. According to provisional calculations, exports of goods and services were up 0.7% compared with the first quarter of 2017. However, imports increased more substantially (+1.7%) in the same period. Arithmetically, the balance of exports and imports thus had a downward effect of -0.3 percentage points on GDP growth.

  • 06:00

    Germany: GDP (YoY), Quarter II 2.1% (forecast 2.1%)

  • 06:00

    Germany: GDP (QoQ), Quarter II 0.6% (forecast 0.6%)

  • 05:51

    Consumer prices in Japan advanced 0.4 percent on year in July

    Overall consumer prices in Japan advanced 0.4 percent on year in July, the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications, cited by rttnews - in line with expectations and unchanged from the June reading.

    Core inflation, which excludes food prices, advanced an annual 0.5 percent - again unchanged and matching forecasts.

    Individually, prices for fuel climbed 4.3 percent on year, while food prices gained 0.6 percent.

    On a monthly basis, overall CPI and core CPI were both flat. Clothing prices fell 2.8 percent on month, and furniture prices dipped 0.4 percent.

    Overall consumer prices for the Tokyo region - considered a leading indicator for the nationwide trend - climbed 0.5 percent on year in August. That exceeded expectations for 0.3 percent and was up from 0.1 percent in July.

    Core CPI for Tokyo gained 0.4 percent, beating forecasts for 0.3 percent and up from 0.2 percent in the previous month.

    Individually, fuel prices spiked 5.7 percent on year and medical care jumped 1.7 percent.

  • 05:49

    U.S. Fed’s gross mortgage-backed securities purchases total $6.679 billion from aug. 17-aug. 23 - NY Fed

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