• BoE forecast shows inflation to peak at 2.82 pct in q4 2017 (feb peak forecast 2.75 pct in q2 2018), based on market interest rates

Noticias del mercado

11 mayo 2017

BoE forecast shows inflation to peak at 2.82 pct in q4 2017 (feb peak forecast 2.75 pct in q2 2018), based on market interest rates

  • Market interest rate assumption based shows first rate hike fully priced in for q4 2019 (feb forecast q1 2019)

  • Shows inflation in two years' time at 2.20 pct (feb forecast 2.56 pct), based on market interest rates

  • Expects q2 gdp growth of +0.4 pct qq, expects q1 gdp growth to be revised up to +0.4 pct from +0.3 pct

  • "Some" MPC members would need relatively little upside news on growth or inflation to consider voting for tighter policy

  • Policy outlook depends on weak pound boosting cpi but not longer-term inflation expectations, modest pay growth near-term to pick up significantly

  • Consumption to recover once wages pick up, in short-term will be offset by better net trade and investment

Sterling falls half a cent, hits one-week low of $1.2870
Interest rates may need to rise by "somewhat greater extent" than implied by markets in May forecasts, says Bank of England
Enfoque del mercado
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