The Chicago
Federal Reserve announced on Monday the Chicago Fed national activity index
(CFNAI), a weighted average of 85 different economic indicators, came in at
+0.10 in August, solidly up from a revised -0.41 in July (originally -0.36), pointing
to a pickup in economic growth.
Economists had
forecast the index to come in at -0.35 in August.
At the same
time, the index’s three-month moving average rose to -0.12 in August from -0.20
in July.
According to
the report, all four broad categories of indicators that make up the index grew
from July, but three of the four categories made negative contributions to the
index in August.
Production-related
indicators made a positive contribution of +0.16 to the CFNAI in August, up
from -0.26 in July. Meanwhile, the contribution of the sales, orders, and
inventories category to the CFNAI improved up to -0.02 in August from -0.07 in
July, while the contribution of the personal consumption and housing category
to the CFNAI ticked up to -0.02 in August from -0.03 in July. Employment-related
indicators contributed -0.02 to the CFNAI in August, up slightly from -0.05 in
July.