EUR/USD’s rally is clearly slowing but economists at Credit Suisse still see scope for one final leg higher to the 1.1185/1.1275 zone.

Move below support at 1.0963 to mark a near-term top 

“EUR/USD uptrend is clearly slowing with strength again essentially capped at the shallow uptrend channel from the beginning of January. We would still though not rule out one final leg higher to our 1.1185/1.1275 core target – the 61.8% retracement and March 2022 high. Our bias would then be to look for an important top here.”

“Below support at 1.0963 is now needed to mark a near-term top for a test of the April low and 55-DMA at 1.0806/1.0788, which ideally holds on a closing basis. Below though would warn of a potentially more important downturn and a test of support at 1.0540/1.0483.”