Economists at Danske Bank discuss Lira's outlook after the Turkish presidential election.

Time to fasten seatbelts as Erdogan secures another term

“Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, has sealed his iron grip on Turkey. In the absence of a u-turn in his economic policies, the risk of an acute currency crisis looms.”

“In a scenario where Turkey ran out of foreign currency, Lira’s value would likely collapse, inflation would explode and goods shortages could occur. Turkish corporates with large foreign liabilities would face rising rollover risk.”