• NFP: The moderation in headline job gains coupled with softer AHE should continue to blunt USD strength – TDS

Noticias del mercado

3 noviembre 2023

NFP: The moderation in headline job gains coupled with softer AHE should continue to blunt USD strength – TDS

Nonfarm Payrolls surprised expectations to the downside in October. This brought the USD lower from its high ground. Economists at TD Securities analyze Greenback’s outlook.

A topping out of 10Y yields and US rates vol will help revive the high-quality carry currencies

Both the headline jobs number and wage data came on the softer side, reinforcing the disinflation narrative. This sets the wheels in motion for peak rates, weak USD, lower rates vol and a revival of the carry theme.

Continued moderation in front-end yields should support the low yielders in G10 and Asia whereas a topping out of 10Y yields and US rates vol will help revive the high-quality carry currencies. We continue to like BRL and MXN.

 

Enfoque del mercado
Material posted here is solely for information purposes and reliance on this may lead to losses. Past performances are not a reliable indicator of future results. Please read our full disclaimer
Abrir cuenta demo y página personal
Entiendo y acepto la Política de Privacidad y estoy de acuerdo con que mi nombre y datos de contacto sean procesados por TeleTrade y utilizados para contactarme en lo referente a: