We do not expect the BoE to change its forward guidance today. And assuming the MPC voting pattern remains the same as February, 2 (hike), 6 (unchanged), 1 (cut), GBP/USD should stay bid and perhaps push up to resistance in the 1.2850/1.2900 area. We doubt one of the votes for a hike shifting to an unchanged position has to hit the Pound.

The above scenario suggests that EUR/GBP could take another look at major support at 0.8500. However, we retain a view that this should be the medium-term base and that EUR/GBP will gently rise through the year once the BoE starts to elaborate on its easing plans over the coming months.