With the risk of a more hawkish Fed removed the pathway to a somewhat softer USD seems to be a little clearer – if only to correct some of its recent gains that developed around concerns that hot CPI data recently could shift the Fed’s perspective on the rate outlook.

The DXY closed negatively Wednesday, losing ground broadly and signaling a technical reversal in its recent strength. The USD’s performance so far today has been mixed, however. But USD gains are not enough – at this point – to ward off more losses in response to the FOMC decision and lower US yields.

The DXY is at risk of easing a further 0.75%-1% in the near term, at least.