The Pound Sterling (GBP) is trading down a little on the session after a two-cent rebound from yesterday’s intraday low and stretch gains against the EUR to retest the mid-0.82 zone on the cross, Scotiabank’s Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.

40-day MA caps recovery for GBP/USD

“The UK’s exposure to US tariffs is somewhat less than the Eurozone’s which should allow the GBP to outperform on the cross in the coming weeks and months. But the UK government will have to balance its ambitions to rebuild ties with Europe against the need to stay as close as possible with President Trump very carefully.”

“GBP’s reversal from yesterday’s intraday low stalled around 1.2450, the 40-day MA which has been curbing GBP gains since Early December. Sterling’s technical position looks potentially positive— certainly relative to its peers—but more work needs to be done to bolster upside potential. Near-term gains above 1.25 would add to short-term bull momentum. Support is 1.2350/75.”