Noticias del mercado
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19:40
American focus: dollar advanced to a six-month high against the yen
The dollar advanced to a six-month high against the yen after the last jobs report before next week’s election showed hiring in the U.S. increased more than forecast. A net 171,000 workers were added to payrolls in October after a 148,000 gain the prior month that was more than first estimated, Labor Department figures showed today in Washington. The median forecast of economists called for an advance of 125,000. The jobless rate rose to 7.9 percent from 7.8 percent as more people entered the labor force.
The U.S. currency strengthened to a three-week high against the euro amid confirmation that the euro-zone’s manufacturing sector contracted in October.
Japan’s currency headed for a third weekly decline against the dollar as economic weakness and disappointing corporate earnings spurred speculation the Bank of Japan will expand monetary stimulus.
The pound was down for the day against the dollar, and could not make a difference, even after a report showed that the index of business activity in the construction sector has exceeded the level of 50 in October and was 50.9, while analysts expected a drop in the index to the level of 49, 1 from 49.5 in September. Once the data released by the U.S., the pound continued to fall, but at a faster pace.
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16:35
EUR / USD continues to fall on U.S. data
The sharp appreciation of the dollar caused by these NFP (change in number of people employed in non-agricultural sectors of the economy), continues to have a negative impact on the dynamics of the single currency. Pair still down against the dollar, trading at the moment about a mark 1.2840. In addition, factory orders in U.S. unexpectedly rose 4.8% in September vs. 4.6%, further pressured the euro.
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16:11
SNB Jordan: So, how long will be stored in the lowest level for the franc, will depend on the global economy
Talk about the refusal of ceiling for the euro / franc premature
In the lowest level of 1.20 for the EUR / CHF is still the right policy
Swiss franc is still high
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15:00
U.S.: Factory Orders , September +4.8% (forecast +4.7%)
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14:45
Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut:
EUR/USD $1.2900, $1.2950, $1.2960, $1.3000, $1.3100
GBP/USD $1.6100, $1.6140, $1.6150
AUD/USD $1.0360, $1.0400
USD/JPY Y79.20, Y79.30, Y79.50, Y79.75, Y80.00
EUR/GBP stg0.7975, stg0.8050
EUR/AUD A$1.2355
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14:18
European session: the dollar has increased significantly
Data
00:30 Australia Producer price index, q / q Quarter III +0.5% +1.0% +0.6%
00:30 Australia Producer price index, y/y Quarter III +1.1% +1.6% +1.1%
08:50 France Manufacturing PMI (finally) October 43.5 43.5 43.7
08:55 Germany Manufacturing PMI (finally) October 45.7 45.7 46.0
09:00 Eurozone Manufacturing PMI (finally) October 45.3 45.3 45.4
09:30 United Kingdom PMI Construction October 49.5 49.1 50.9
12:30 Canada Unemployment rate October 7.4% 7.4% 7.4%
12:30 Canada Employment October 52.1 7.5 1.8
12:30 U.S. Unemployment Rate October 7.8% 7.9% 7.9%
12:30 U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls October 114 120 171
12:30 U.S. Average hourly earnings October +0.3% +0.2% +0.0%
12:30 U.S. Average workweek October 34.5 34.5 34.4
Today, during the day, the euro showed a steady and significant decline against the dollar ahead of the release of the change in the number of people employed in non-agricultural sectors of the economy. Many market participants had pinned great hopes on him, and were pleasantly surprised when it became known that the number of employees increased by 171 thousand, which was much higher than forecast at 120 thousand Note also that positive news was the fact that the figure for the previous month was revised up from 114,000 to 148,000. At the same time, the data showed that the unemployment rate grew to 7.9%, which is fully in line with forecasts, and almost no effect on the mood of traders.
The Canadian dollar traded slightly lower against the dollar before the release of a report from the U.S. and Canadian data. But after the publication of the exchange rate has appreciated sharply. Note that the Canadian data were not as positive as in the U.S.. It is learned that the number of employees increased by only 1.8 thousand, while the projected growth of 7.5 thousand.
Pound during the day was down against the dollar, and could not make a difference, even after a report showed that the index of business activity in the construction sector has exceeded the level of 50 in October and was 50.9, while analysts expected a drop in the index to the level of 49, 1 from 49.5 in September. Once the data released by the U.S. the pound continued to fall, but at a faster pace.
Yen during trading showed a slight decline against the dollar, but after the publication of data from the U.S., the rate fell sharply while still achieving the highest level since April 27.
EUR / USD: during the European session, the pair set a minimum level of $ 1.2846, and is now trading at
GBP / USD: during the European session, the pair showed a significant decline, setting all-time low of $ 1.6025
USD / JPY: during the European session, the pair rose sharply to reach Y80.68
At 14:00 GMT the U.S. are data on factory orders for September. At 18:25 GMT the United States with a speech vіstupit member Federal Open Market Committee D. Williams.
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14:00
Orders
EUR/USD
Offers $1.3040/50, $1.3010/25, $1.2925/30
Bids $1.2850, $1.2815/00
GBP/USD
Offers $1.6180/85, $1.6150, $1.6120/25Bids $1.6050, $1.6010/00
AUD/USD
Offers $1.0550, $1.0500, $1.0450Bids $1.0350, $1.0320, $1.0305/00
EUR/JPY
Offers Y104.50, Y104.20, Y104.00
Bids Y103.20, Y103.00, Y102.85/80, Y102.55/50
USD/JPYOffers Y80.80, Y80.40
Bids Y80.00, Y79.80/70, Y79.40
EUR/GBPOffers stg0.8100, stg0.8080
Bids stg0.7950, stg0.7945/40
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13:33
U.S.: Average workweek, October 34.4 (forecast 34.5)
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13:31
U.S.: Unemployment Rate, October 7.9% (forecast 7.9%)
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13:31
U.S.: Average hourly earnings , October +0.0% (forecast +0.2%)
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13:31
Canada: Employment , October 1.8 (forecast 7.5)
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13:30
Canada: Unemployment rate, October 7.4% (forecast 7.4%)
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13:30
U.S.: Nonfarm Payrolls, October 171 (forecast 120)
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11:11
Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut
EUR/USD $1.2900, $1.2950, $1.2960, $1.3000, $1.3100
GBP/USD $1.6100, $1.6140, $1.6150
AUD/USD $1.0360, $1.0400
USD/JPY Y79.20, Y79.30, Y79.50, Y79.75, Y80.00
EUR/GBP stg0.7975, stg0.8050
EUR/AUD A$1.2355
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10:31
United Kingdom: PMI Construction, October 50.9 (forecast 49.1)
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09:59
Eurozone: Manufacturing PMI, October 45.4 (forecast 45.3)
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09:55
Germany: Manufacturing PMI, October 46.0 (forecast 45.7)
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09:54
France: Manufacturing PMI, October 43.7 (forecast 43.5)
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09:00
Forex: Thursday’s review
Yesterday the dollar rose against the yen and the euro, as the number of initial claims for unemployment benefits fell to its lowest level in three weeks, and the index of manufacturing activity rose more than expected, adding evidence that the economy is recovering.The pound rose to its highest level in two weeks against the dollar as a report showed that house prices in the UK jumped in October. Also today, it became known to increase UK economic forecasts for this year and next year.
The Japanese currency has weakened against the euro, as investors await the publication of minutes of the Bank of Japan, and amid speculation the central bank will hold a loosening of monetary policy in the future.
The dollar index, which is used to track the value of the dollar against the currencies of six U.S. partners, rose by 0.2% to 80.061.
The Canadian dollar strengthened to near three-month low against its U.S. counterpart as a sudden increase in production in the U.S., which is the largest trading partner of Canada raised the appetite for risk among investors.
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08:05
Asian session: The yen extended weekly drops
00:30 Australia Producer price index, q / q Quarter III +0.5% +1.0% +0.6%
00:30 Australia Producer price index, y/y Quarter III +1.1% +1.6% +1.1%
The yen extended weekly drops against its major peers as signs of economic weakness along with earnings disappointments at technology companies spurred speculation the Bank of Japan will expand monetary easing. The currency held a three-day slide versus the euro after minutes of Oct. 4-5 policy meeting showed BOJ board members said the nation may have entered a recessionary phase.
The dollar was 0.2 percent from a four-month high versus the yen after U.S. data fanned expectations employment figures today will point to a recovery in the world’s biggest economy. The U.S. Labor Department is likely to say today that a net 125,000 jobs were added to payrolls last month following an increase of 114,000 in September, according to the median estimate of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. The unemployment rate probably rose to 7.9 percent from a three-year low of 7.8 percent, a separate survey showed. Applications for jobless benefits fell 9,000 to 363,000 in the week ended Oct. 27, the Labor Department said yesterday. A separate report from ADP Research Institute showed that companies increased payrolls in October by 158,000, the most since February.
Implied volatility of three-month options for G-7 currencies fell to 7.37 percent, the lowest since October 2007, according to the JPMorgan G7 Volatility Index. A decrease in price fluctuations makes investments in currencies with higher lending rates more attractive because risk becomes smaller that market moves will erase profits on such trades.
EUR / USD: during the Asian session the pair fell to the previous day's low.
GBP / USD: during the Asian session the pair fell to $1.6100.
USD / JPY: during the Asian session, the pair rose to Y80.30, updating weekly high.
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07:21
Currencies. Daily history for Nov 1'2012:
(pare/closed(00:00 GMT +02:00)/change, %)
EUR/USD $1,2942 -0,11%
GBP/USD $1,6123 -0,04%
USD/CHF Chf0,9315 -0,01%
USD/JPY Y80,14 +0,42%
EUR/JPY Y103,72 +0,33%
GBP/JPY Y129,20 +0,39%
AUD/USD $1,0400 +0,24%
NZD/USD $0,8262 +0,47%
USD/CAD C$0,9965 -0,35%
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07:03
Schedule for today, Friday, Nov 2’2012:
00:30 Australia Producer price index, q / q Quarter III +0.5% +1.0% +0.6%
00:30 Australia Producer price index, y/y Quarter III +1.1% +1.6% +1.1%
08:50 France Manufacturing PMI (finally) October 43.5 43.5
08:55 Germany Manufacturing PMI (finally) October 45.7 45.7
09:00 Eurozone Manufacturing PMI (finally) October 45.3 45.3
09:30 United Kingdom PMI Construction October 49.5 49.1
12:30 Canada Unemployment rate October 7.4% 7.4%
12:30 Canada Employment October 52.1 7.5
12:30 U.S. Unemployment Rate October 7.8% 7.9%
12:30 U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls October 114 120
12:30 U.S. Average hourly earnings October +0.3% +0.2%
12:30 U.S. Average workweek October 34.5 34.5
14:00 U.S. Factory Orders September -5.2% +4.7%
18:25 U.S. FOMC Member Williams Speaks -
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