Noticias del mercado
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20:17
American focus: Bernanke speech provoked a mixed reaction players
During the American session, the major currency pairs displayed high volatility in the background speech Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke in Congress.
The dollar rose at the outset, as the first reaction of market participants was negative, because no specific signal on the new incentives announced the U.S. economy was not.
Later, however, Bernanke said that the downside risks have increased, have been seen as one of these signals. Bernanke reiterated that "the Fed is ready to take action if necessary" and that "the recovery of the labor market is extremely slow."
The pressure on the euro also had a weak sentiment index data in the business environment of the institute ZEW, which fell to -19.6 in July to -16.9 in June.
The yen fell against the dollar after three days of growth, which was due to the fact that the Minister of Finance of Japan, Azumi said that foreign exchange earnings were "speculative" and officials are prepared to take drastic measures if need be. "
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18:37
EUR / USD Euro seeks to recover losses incurred at the time, as U.S. stocks moved into positive territory
The euro rose to $ 1.2260. The closest resistance level is $ 1.2280, which is close to the MA (200) for H1.
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16:10
Fed Chairman Bernanke: Economy has slowed somewhat in the first half of the year
European markets, the economy continues to experience considerable stress
U.S. economic recovery hampered multiple obstacles
Employment growth is likely to be "painfully slow"
Fiscal policy of the U.S., the uncertainty of harm to economic recovery
Euro crisis hurt global economic activity, United States
The confidence of households has remained relatively low
The housing market shows signs of moderate improvement
The growth of household spending continues, the pace may slow
The production, reduced costs companies
GDP growth in Q2 is likely to be below 2%
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16:00
U.S.: NAHB Housing Market Index, July 35 (forecast 30)
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15:45
Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut:
EUR/USD $1.2190, $1.2200, $1.2250, $1.2300, $1.2400
USD/JPY Y79.00, Y79.15
GBP/USD $1.5600
EUR/GBP stg0.7850
USD/CHF Chf0.9800, Chf0.9900
AUD/USD $1.0250, $1.0300
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15:16
U.S.: Industrial Production (MoM), June +0.4% (forecast +0.4%)
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15:15
U.S.: Capacity Utilization, June 78.9% (forecast 79.2%)
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15:05
U.S.: Total Net TIC Flows, May 101.7
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15:02
U.S.: Net Long-term TIC Flows , May 55.0 (forecast 45.7)
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15:01
Canada: Bank of Canada Rate, 1.00% (forecast 1.00%)
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14:32
U.S.: CPI excluding food and energy, Y/Y, June +2.2% (forecast +2.2%)
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14:32
Canada: Manufacturing Shipments (MoM), May -0.4% (forecast +0.7%)
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14:32
U.S.: CPI excluding food and energy, m/m, June +0.2% (forecast +0.2%)
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14:32
U.S.: CPI, Y/Y, June +1.7% (forecast +1.6%)
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14:31
U.S.: CPI, m/m , June 0.0% (forecast 0.0%)
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13:15
Orders
EUR/USD
Offers $1.2400/05, $1.2380, $1.2350/60, $1.2320/30
Bids $1.2255/50, $1.2210/00
GBP/USD
Offers $1.5750, $1.5700, $1.5687
Bids $1.5610/00, $1.5570, $1.5535/30, $1.5500
AUD/USD
Offers $1.0400, $1.0380/85, $1.0350
Bids $1.0250, $1.0200, $1.0180/75
EUR/GBP
Offers stg0.7920/30, stg0.7895/900, stg0.7880/85
Bids stg0.7810/00
EUR/JPY
Offers Y98.50, Y98.00, Y97.70/75, Y97.50
Bids Y96.70/65, Y96.50, Y96.00
USD/JPY
Offers Y79.75/80, Y79.50, Y79.40
Bids Y78.50, Y78.00 -
13:00
Tech on USD/JPY
Resistance 3: Y79.40 (MA (200) for H1, July 9 low)
Resistance 2: Y79.30 (July 2 low)
Resistance 1: Y79.12 (July 11 low)
Current price: Y79.01
Support 1: Y78.60 (June 15 low)
Support 2: Y78.10 (June 5 low)
Support 3: Y77.65 (June 1 low)
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12:45
Tech on USD/CHF
Resistance 3: Chf0.9910 (December 2010 high)
Resistance 2: Chf0.9875 (July 13 high)
Resistance 1: Chf0.9790 (session high, July 16 low)
Current price: Chf0.9770
Support 1: Chf0.9735 (July 10 low)
Support 2: Chf0.9715 (38,2% of FIBO (0.9465-0.9875), July 5 low)
Support 3: Chf0.9670/80 (June 28 low, July 6 low)
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12:30
Tech on GBP/USD
Resistance 3: $ 1.5780 (June 20 high)
Resistance 2: $ 1.5720 (July 2 high)
Resistance 1: $ 1.5680/85 (session high, 88.2% for the FIBO ($ 1.5395-$ 1.5722))
Current Price: $ 1.5634
Support 1: $ 1.5510/20 (MA (100) for H1, 38.2% for the FIBO ($ 1.5395-$ 1.5722))
Support 2: $ 1.5460/70 (23.6% of FIBO ($ 1.5395-$ 1.5722), July 6 low)
Support 3: $ 1.5395 (July 12 low)
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12:15
Tech on EUR/USD
Resistance 3: $ 1.2490 (61.8% at FIBO ($ 1.2163-$ 1.2695))
Resistance 2: $ 1.2405 (July 6 high, June 28 low)
Resistance 1: $ 1.2365 (38.2% of FIBO ($ 1.2163-$ 1.2695), a minimum of 5 July)
Current Price: $ 1.2294
Support 1: $ 1.2165 (July 12 low)
Support 2: $ 1.2116 (June 2010 low)
Support 3: $ 1.2000 (psychological level) -
11:23
Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut:
EUR/USD $1.2100, $1.2190, $1.2200, $1.2250, $1.2300, $1.2400
USD/JPY Y78.00, Y79.00, Y79.15
EUR/GBP stg0.0.7970
USD/CHF Chf0.9800, Chf0.9900
AUD/USD $1.0250
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11:11
Asian session: The dollar fell against most major peers amid speculation Federal Reserve Chairman
01:30 Australia RBA Meeting's Minutes -
01:30 Australia New Motor Vehicle Sales (MoM) June +2.4% -0.6%
01:30 Australia New Motor Vehicle Sales (YoY) June +22.4% +18.4%
The dollar fell against most major peers amid speculation Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke will hint at further monetary easing in testimony today. Bernanke will deliver his semiannual report on the economy and monetary policy to the Senate Banking Committee. He will testify to the House Financial Services Committee tomorrow.
The greenback slid for a third day versus the euro after an unexpected drop in U.S. retail sales rekindled prospects the Fed will introduce additional steps to support the world’s largest economy. A Labor Department report may show today that the consumer- price index was unchanged last month from May when it slid 0.3 percent, according to the median estimate of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. U.S. retail sales fell 0.5 percent in June, Commerce Department figures showed yesterday, whereas economists had forecast a 0.2 percent gain..
The 17-nation euro was 0.2 percent from the lowest in more than three years against the pound before German data that may signal deteriorating investor confidence.
The ZEW Center for European Economic Research may say today that its index of German investor and analyst expectations slid to minus 20 this month, according to the median estimate of economists. That would be the lowest since January and down from minus 16.9 in June. The gauge aims to predict economic developments six months in advance.
Australia’s dollar climbed as Asian stocks rose and after the Reserve Bank released today minutes of this month’s meeting
EUR / USD: during the Asian session the pair rose to $ 1.2300.
GBP / USD: during the Asian session the pair grew up, updating the weekly maximum.
USD / JPY: during the Asian session the pair rose to Y 79.00.
ECB Governing Council member Erkki Liikanen is due to meet European Commissioner for Internal Markets Michel Barnier today, although scheduled European events start at 0600GMT with ACEA new car
registrations data, shortly followed at 0610GMT by the GFK measure of German consumer confidence. At 0730GMT, the Riksbank delivers the minutes from it's July 3rd Monetary Policy Meeting. The main European
data release for Tuesday is German ZEW data, due at 0900GMT Expectations are mixed, but median forecasts look for the expectations index to slip to a reading of -20.0, while the median forecast for the
current situation index looks for a slip to 31.2. Also at 0900GMT, ECB Governing Council member Luis Linde is due to present the Bank of Spain's Annual Report to the Committee on Economy and Competitiveness,
in Madrid.
UK data at 0830GMT sees inflation data for June. These data are set to show inflation running comfortably below the Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee's forecast for Q2.Staying in the UK, at 0900GMT, the Bank of England's King, Tucker, Kohn,and Turner give evidence to a Treasury Select Committee on the Financial Stability Report.
US data starts at 1145GMT with the weekly ICSC-Goldman Store Sales data, while at 1230GMT, US consumer prices are forecast to hold steady in June, as energy prices remained soft. This followed a 0.3%
decline for overall CPI in May. The weekly Redbook Average follows at 1255GMT, followed at 1300GMT by
Treasury International Capital System (TICS) data. The Bank of Canada gives it's monetary policy announcement at 1300GMT and is expected to leave rates unchanged, although markets will also be eyeing any statement for a potential softening of the recent tightening bias.At 1315GMT, industrial production is expected to rise 0.3% in June after falling slightly in May. Capacity utilization is forecast to rise to 79.1% in June. At 1400GMT, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke delivers his semi-annual monetary policy report to the Senate Banking Committee. US data also rounds off at 1400GMT with the July Housing Market Index from the NAHB.
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11:10
Asian session: The dollar fell against most major peers amid speculation Federal Reserve Chairman
01:30 Australia RBA Meeting's Minutes -
01:30 Australia New Motor Vehicle Sales (MoM) June +2.4% -0.6%
01:30 Australia New Motor Vehicle Sales (YoY) June +22.4% +18.4%
The dollar fell against most major peers amid speculation Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke will hint at further monetary easing in testimony today. Bernanke will deliver his semiannual report on the economy and monetary policy to the Senate Banking Committee. He will testify to the House Financial Services Committee tomorrow.
The greenback slid for a third day versus the euro after an unexpected drop in U.S. retail sales rekindled prospects the Fed will introduce additional steps to support the world’s largest economy. A Labor Department report may show today that the consumer- price index was unchanged last month from May when it slid 0.3 percent, according to the median estimate of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. U.S. retail sales fell 0.5 percent in June, Commerce Department figures showed yesterday, whereas economists had forecast a 0.2 percent gain..
The 17-nation euro was 0.2 percent from the lowest in more than three years against the pound before German data that may signal deteriorating investor confidence.
The ZEW Center for European Economic Research may say today that its index of German investor and analyst expectations slid to minus 20 this month, according to the median estimate of economists. That would be the lowest since January and down from minus 16.9 in June. The gauge aims to predict economic developments six months in advance.
Australia’s dollar climbed as Asian stocks rose and after the Reserve Bank released today minutes of this month’s meeting
EUR / USD: during the Asian session the pair rose to $ 1.2300.
GBP / USD: during the Asian session the pair grew up, updating the weekly maximum.
USD / JPY: during the Asian session the pair rose to Y 79.00.
ECB Governing Council member Erkki Liikanen is due to meet European Commissioner for Internal Markets Michel Barnier today, although scheduled European events start at 0600GMT with ACEA new car
registrations data, shortly followed at 0610GMT by the GFK measure of German consumer confidence. At 0730GMT, the Riksbank delivers the minutes from it's July 3rd Monetary Policy Meeting. The main European
data release for Tuesday is German ZEW data, due at 0900GMT Expectations are mixed, but median forecasts look for the expectations index to slip to a reading of -20.0, while the median forecast for the
current situation index looks for a slip to 31.2. Also at 0900GMT, ECB Governing Council member Luis Linde is due to present the Bank of Spain's Annual Report to the Committee on Economy and Competitiveness,
in Madrid.
UK data at 0830GMT sees inflation data for June. These data are set to show inflation running comfortably below the Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee's forecast for Q2.Staying in the UK, at 0900GMT, the Bank of England's King, Tucker, Kohn,and Turner give evidence to a Treasury Select Committee on the Financial Stability Report.
US data starts at 1145GMT with the weekly ICSC-Goldman Store Sales data, while at 1230GMT, US consumer prices are forecast to hold steady in June, as energy prices remained soft. This followed a 0.3%
decline for overall CPI in May. The weekly Redbook Average follows at 1255GMT, followed at 1300GMT by
Treasury International Capital System (TICS) data. The Bank of Canada gives it's monetary policy announcement at 1300GMT and is expected to leave rates unchanged, although markets will also be eyeing any statement for a potential softening of the recent tightening bias.At 1315GMT, industrial production is expected to rise 0.3% in June after falling slightly in May. Capacity utilization is forecast to rise to 79.1% in June. At 1400GMT, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke delivers his semi-annual monetary policy report to the Senate Banking Committee. US data also rounds off at 1400GMT with the July Housing Market Index from the NAHB.
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11:02
Eurozone: ZEW Economic Sentiment, July -22.3 (forecast -18.3)
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11:00
Germany: ZEW Survey - Economic Sentiment, July -19.6 (forecast -14.5)
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10:55
Forex: Monday’s review
The dollar fell against the yen and erased gains versus the euro after U.S. retail sales unexpectedly fell for a third month, adding to speculation the Federal Reserve will take further steps to bolster the economy.
The euro reached a six-week low against the yen as the inflation rate in the currency region last month matched the lowest since February 2011. The yen rose versus most of its major counterparts as the Dollar Index erased gains before Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke testifies to Congress tomorrow on the state of the economy.
The Dollar Index erased gains after a Commerce Department report showed U.S. retail sales dropped 0.5 percent in June. The gauge, which Intercontinental Exchange Inc. uses to track the greenback against the currencies of six major U.S. trading partners, fell 0.1 percent to 83.235. It increased 0.4 percent earlier.
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10:32
United Kingdom: Retail prices, Y/Y, June +2.8% (forecast +3.0%)
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10:32
United Kingdom: Retail Price Index, m/m, June 0.0% (forecast 0.0%)
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10:31
United Kingdom: HICP ex EFAT, Y/Y, June +2.1% (forecast +2.3%)
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10:30
United Kingdom: HICP, Y/Y, June +2.4% (forecast +2.7%)
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10:30
United Kingdom: HICP, m/m, June -0.4% (forecast -0.1%)
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09:11
Tech for USD / JPY
Resistance 3: Y79.95 (Jul 12 high)
Resistance 2: Y79.40 ( Jul 13 high, MA (50) D1, MA (200) H1)
Resistance 1: Y79.00 (session high)
Current price: Y79.09
Support 1: Y78.60/65 (area of Jun 15-16 lows)
Support 2: Y77.95/10 (area of Jun 4-5 lows)
Support 3: Y77.65 (Jun 1 low)
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08:27
Tech for USD / CHF
Resistance 3: Chf0.9915 (Dec 8 high 2010)
Resistance 2: Chf0.9865-73 (area of Jul 12-16 highs)
Resistance 1: Chf0.9790 (session high)
Current price: Chf0.9768
Support 1: Chf0.9735 (Jul 10 low)
Support 2: Chf0.9685 (July 6 low)
Support 3: Chf0.9580 (Jul 4 low, MA (50) D1)
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08:02
Tech for GBP / USD
Resistance 3: $ 1.5775 (Jun 20 high)
Resistance 2: $ 1.5750 (MA (200) D1)
Resistance 1: $ 1.5720 (Jul 2 high)
Current Price: $ 1.5622
Support 1: $ 1.5620 (session low)
Support 2: $ 1.5590 (Jul 13 high)
Support 3: $ 1.5515 (Jul 16 low)
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07:43
Tech for EUR / USD
Resistance 3: $ 1.2540 (Jul 5 high, MA (50) D1)
Resistance 2: $ 1.2400 (Jul 6 high)
Resistance 1: $ 1.2335 (Jul 10 high)
Current Price: $ 1.2293
Support 1: $ 1.2265 (session low)
Support 2: $ 1.2160-70 (area of Jul 12-16 highs)
Support 3: $ 1.2100 (psychological level)
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07:06
Currencies. Daily history for Jul 16'2012:
(pare/closed(00:00 GMT +02:00)/change, %)
EUR/USD $1,2269 +0,17% 1,2248
GBP/USD $1,5632 +0,36% 1,5575
USD/CHF Chf0,9786 -0,17% 0,9803
USD/JPY Y78,85 -0,42% 79,18
EUR/JPY Y96,75 +0,34% 96,42
GBP/JPY Y123,25 -0,03% 123,29
AUD/USD $1,0243 +0,18% 1,0225
NZD/USD 0,7973 +0,19% 0,7958
USD/CAD C$1,0147 +0,05% 1,0142
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07:02
Schedule for today, Tuesday, Jul 17’2012:
01:30 Australia RBA Meeting's Minutes -
01:30 Australia New Motor Vehicle Sales (MoM) June +2.4% -0.6%
01:30 Australia New Motor Vehicle Sales (YoY) June +22.4% +18.4%
08:30 United Kingdom HICP, m/m June -0.1% -0.1%
08:30 United Kingdom HICP, Y/Y June +2.8% +2.7%
08:30 United Kingdom HICP ex EFAT, Y/Y June +2.2% +2.3%
08:30 United Kingdom Retail Price Index, m/m June 0.0% 0.0%
08:30 United Kingdom Retail prices, Y/Y June +3.1% +3.0%
08:30 United Kingdom RPI-X, Y/Y June +3.1% +3.1%
09:00 United Kingdom BOE Gov King Speaks -
09:00 Germany ZEW Survey - Economic Sentiment July -16.9 -14.5
09:00 Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment July -20.1 -18.3
09:30 United Kingdom BOE Inflation Letter July
12:30 U.S. CPI, m/m June -0.3% 0.0%
12:30 U.S. CPI, Y/Y June +1.7% +1.6%
12:30 U.S. CPI excluding food and energy, m/m June +0.2% +0.2%
12:30 U.S. CPI excluding food and energy, Y/Y June +2.3% +2.2%
12:30 Canada Manufacturing Shipments (MoM) May -0.8% +0.7%
13:00 Canada Bank of Canada Rate - 1.00% 1.00%
13:00 Canada BOC Rate Statement -
13:00 U.S. Total Net TIC Flows May -20.5
13:00 U.S. Net Long-term TIC Flows May 25.6 45.7
13:15 U.S. Industrial Production (MoM) June -0.1% +0.4%
13:15 U.S. Capacity Utilization June 79.0% 79.2%
14:00 U.S. NAHB Housing Market Index July 29 30
14:00 U.S. Fed Chairman Bernanke Testifies July
17:15 U.S. FOMC Member Pianalto Speaks -
23:50 Japan Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes -
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