00:30 Japan Manufacturing PMI (Preliminary) May 52.7
04:30 Japan All Industry Activity Index, m/m March 0.7%
06:00 Germany GDP (QoQ) (Finally) Quarter I 0.4% 0.6%
06:00 Germany GDP (YoY) (Finally) Quarter I 1.8% 1.7%
06:00 Switzerland Trade Balance April 3.1
07:00 France Manufacturing PMI (Preliminary) May 55.1 55.2
07:00 France Services PMI (Preliminary) May 56.7 56.4
07:30 Germany Manufacturing PMI (Preliminary) May 58.2 58
07:30 Germany Services PMI (Preliminary) May 55.4 55.4
08:00 Eurozone Services PMI (Preliminary) May 56.4 56.5
08:00 Eurozone Manufacturing PMI (Preliminary) May 56.7 56.7
08:00 Germany IFO - Business Climate May 112.9 113.1
08:00 Germany IFO - Expectations May 105.2 105.4
08:00 Germany IFO - Current Assessment May 121.1 121.2
08:30 United Kingdom PSNB, bln April -4.36 -8.15
10:00 United Kingdom CBI retail sales volume balance May 38 10
12:30 Canada Wholesale Sales, m/m March -0.2%
13:45 U.S. Manufacturing PMI (Preliminary) May 52.8 52.9
13:45 U.S. Services PMI (Preliminary) May 53.1 53.1
14:00 U.S. Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index May 20
14:00 U.S. New Home Sales April 621 611
15:00 Eurozone ECB's Benoit Coeure Speaks
19:15 U.S. FOMC Member Kashkari Speaks
21:00 U.S. FOMC Member Harker Speaks
22:45 New Zealand Trade Balance, mln April 332
EURUSD: 1.1085-95 (EUR 836m) 1.1100-10 (927m) 1.1130-40 (458m) 1.1150 (879m) 1.1200 (1.1bln) 1.1225 (1bln) 1.1240-50 (1bln) 1.1300-10 (735m)
USDJPY: 110.00 (USD 594m) 110.50 (250m) 111.00 (404m) 111.20 (331m) 111.40-50(1.03bln) 112.00 (633m) 112.40-50 (1.02bln) 113.00 (675m)
GBPUSD: 1.2930 (GBP 180m) 1.2975 (1.1bln) 1.2995-3000 (273m)
EURGBP: 0.8450 (EUR 190m)
AUDUSD: 0.7400 (AUD 366m) 0.7530-40 (566m) 0.7600 (203m)
USDCAD: 1.3600-10 (USD 216m)
EURJPY: 124.25 (EUR 805m) 125.00 (338m)
Says iran plays "difficult" role in Syria; we expect Iran to behave responsibly in the region, supporting not terror politics but peace politics
IMF and Eurogroup should make sure debt servicing leaves space for education, research, development in Greece
Greece now needs the implementation of that promise from 2016
We shouldn't waste time discussing EU treaty changes that can only be done in medium term at earliest
Says Eurogroup offered prospect of Greek debt lightening already in 2016 in exchange for strong performance
EUR/USD
Offers: 1.1200 1.1220 1.1260 1.1300 1.1350
Bids: 1.1150 1.1130 1.1100 1.1080 1.1065 1.1050
GBP/USD
Offers: 1.3000 1.3020-25 1.3050 1.3080 1.3100
Bids: 1.2950 1.2935 1.2920 1.2900 1.2875-80 1.2850
EUR/JPY
Offers: 124.85 125.00 125.30 125.50
Bids: 124.30 124.00 123.80 123.50 123.30 123.00
EUR/GBP
Offers: 0.8620-25 0.8655-60 0.8680 0.870
Bids: 0.8600 0.8585 0.8570 0.8550 0.8530-35 0.8500-10
USD/JPY
Offers: 111.50 111.60 111.80 112.00 112.30 112.60 112.80 113.00
Bids: 111.00 110.80 110.50 110.30 110.00
AUD/USD
Offers: 0.7460 0.7480 0.7500 0.7530 0.7550
Bids: 0.7430 0.7400 0.7380 0.7370 0.7350 0.7300
French finmin minister Le Maire says working group will present concrete ideas on developing euro zone
Schaeuble says working group to come up with ideas by july
Le Maire says convinced will work well with Schaeuble to the benefit of France, Germany and Europe
Schaeuble says both convinced Germany and France have special leadership role in strengthening euro zone
Le Maire says France will respect its deficit reduction commitments
Says sees rouble at 62-63 per dollar at the end of 2017 if global oil cut deal extended
Says may lower 2017 inflation forecast if global oil cut deal extended
EURUSD: 1.1085-95 (EUR 836m) 1.1100-10 (927m) 1.1130-40 (458m) 1.1150 (879m) 1.1200 (1.1bln) 1.1225 (1bln) 1.1240-50 (1bln) 1.1300-10 (735m)
USDJPY: 110.00 (USD 594m) 110.50 (250m) 111.00 (404m) 111.20 (331m) 111.40-50(1.03bln) 112.00 (633m) 112.40-50 (1.02bln) 113.00 (675m)
GBPUSD: 1.2930 (GBP 180m) 1.2975 (1.1bln) 1.2995-3000 (273m)
EURGBP: 0.8450 (EUR 190m)
AUDUSD: 0.7400 (AUD 366m) 0.7530-40 (566m) 0.7600 (203m)
USDCAD: 1.3600-10 (USD 216m)
EURJPY: 124.25 (EUR 805m) 125.00 (338m)
Feels Trump presidency likely to continue period of political volatility but markets can learn to get used to it
Controversy in Washington has not yet had appreciable economic impact
Expects "minimal" impact from balance sheet reduction on bond markets, assuming policy change communicated and managed appropriately
Won't get a lot of jobs back in manufacturing; U.S. economy excels at services
Both sides of political aisle agree on the importance of the independence of the Fed
U.S. dollar is still seen as stable, world reserve currency
Speculators increase cbot US 5-year treasury futures net short position by 23,739 contracts to 170,167 in week on may 16
Speculators switch cbot US treasury bonds futures to net short position of 6,848 contracts in week on may 16 vs 5,178 net longs a week ago
EUR/USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.1299 (6132)
$1.1260 (5514)
$1.1238 (6534)
Price at time of writing this review: $1.1188
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.1165 (784)
$1.1122 (610)
$1.1060 (2030)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date June, 9 is 79482 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1000 (6534);
- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date June, 9 is 94984 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,0700 (5504);
- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.20 versus 1.19 from the previous trading day according to data from May, 19
GBP/USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.3302 (1051)
$1.3204 (3467)
$1.3108 (3166)
Price at time of writing this review: $1.2997
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.2895 (1452)
$1.2797 (2090)
$1.2699 (2031)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date June, 9 is 35464 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3000 (3878);
- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date June, 9 is 36430 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1500 (3061);
- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.03 versus 1.04 from the previous trading day according to data from May, 19
* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.
** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.
(pare/closed(GMT +2)/change, %)
EUR/USD $1,1207 +0,95%
GBP/USD $1,3034 +0,74%
USD/CHF Chf0,9727 -0,75%
USD/JPY Y111,26 -0,27%
EUR/JPY Y124,69 +0,68%
GBP/JPY Y145,03 +0,48%
AUD/USD $0,7456 +0,54%
NZD/USD $0,6923 +0,36%
USD/CAD C$1,3509 -0,70%