The European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Ewald Nowotny told Austrian newspaper Der Standard in an interview published on Tuesday that the ECB should decide sooner rather than later whether to start purchases of government bonds.
Nowotny said that the ECB "should provide clarity over its strategy as soon as possible".
Investors speculate that the European Central Bank could decide on its policy meeting on January 22 to purchase government bonds.
Stock indices closed higher as inflation in the U.K. declines to the lowest level since May 2000.
The U.K. consumer price index declined to an annual rate of 0.5% in December from 1.0% in November. Analysts had expected the consumer price inflation to decrease to 0.7%.
On monthly basis, consumer price inflation in the U.K. was flat in December, missing forecasts of a 0.1% rise, after a 0.3% decline in November.
Consumer price inflation excluding food, energy, alcohol, and tobacco increased to an annual rate of 1.3% in November from 1.2% in November. Analysts had expected the consumer inflation to climb to 1.4%.
The Bank of England's inflation target is about 2%.
Investors speculate that Bank of England will keep interest rates on hold for a longer period.
The Bank of England Governor Mark Carney said in an interview with the BBC on Tuesday that he expects inflation to decline in coming months, but he believes inflation will be near the central bank's 2% target within two years.
There were released no major economic reports in the Eurozone.
The European Central Bank (ECB) executive board member Benoit Coeure told German newspaper Die Welt that the central bank has discussed about whether to implement a sovereign bond-buying programme last week. He noted that the ECB could take a decision on its policy meeting on January 22.
Coeure pointed out that Greece's parliament election on January 25 would not influence the ECB's monetary policy.
Indexes on the close:
Name Price Change Change %
FTSE 100 6,542.2 +40.78 +0.63%
DAX 9,941 +159.10 +1.63%
CAC 40 4,290.28 +62.04 +1.47%
Oil prices continued to fall today, dropping at the same time below $ 46 a barrel amid speculation that US stocks rose at the end of last week. Pressure oil also had statements by the Minister of the UAE oil industry, which again confirmed that OPEC will not cut production.
Failed to improve market sentiment even positive data from China, the second largest oil consumer in the world. As it became known, the volume of oil imports to China in December rose to a record high. General Administration of Customs reported chtov last month, China imported 30.37 million tons of oil, which corresponds to 7.2 million barrels per day. This is 13% more than in the same period last year. In December, the volume of oil imports to China exceeded the record high in January 2014 28,160,000 tons. "The absence of any reaction on the oil market participants data from China indicates that demand factors play no role in the present time, and now dominates the supply factor," - noted in the note by Commerzbank.
Also, market participants continue to win back yesterday's forecasts from analysts Goldman Sachs. Recall, the bank's analysts have lowered the forecast average Brent price in 2015 to $ 50.40 per barrel from $ 83.75, and the forecast for WTI - up to $ 47.15 per barrel from $ 73.75. In their opinion, investments in shale oil will decline if the US standard would cost about $ 40 a significant portion of the first half. "A series of pessimistic forecasts for oil prices made by analysts, putting pressure on prices," - said in a statement the bank ANZ.
In addition, investors are expected to publish a report tomorrow on reserves from US Department of Energy. According to forecasts, the oil reserves at the end of last week rose by 1.75 million barrels - up to 384.1 million barrels, which is 8% higher than the average for this time of the year for the last five years. Any significant change in US Department of Energy forecasts of demand and supply of oil can lead to changes in oil prices.
The cost of the February futures on US light crude oil WTI (Light Sweet Crude Oil) dropped to 45.71 dollars per barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
February futures price for North Sea Brent crude oil mix fell $ 1.23 to $ 45.96 a barrel on the London Stock Exchange ICE Futures Europe.
The U.S. dollar traded mixed against the most major currencies after the better-than-expected U.S. job openings figures. Job openings climbed to 4.972 million in November from 4.830 million in October. October's figure was revised down from 4.834 million. Analysts had expected job openings to rise to 4.848 million.
The euro traded mixed against the U.S. dollar in the absence of any major economic reports from the Eurozone. Political uncertainty in Greece and inflation data from the Eurozone still weighed on the euro.
Investors speculate that the European Central Bank could decide on its policy meeting on January 22 to purchase government bonds.
The British pound traded higher against the U.S. dollar, recovering its losses after the weaker-than-expected consumer price inflation from the U.K. The U.K. consumer price index declined to an annual rate of 0.5% in December from 1.0% in November. That was the lowest level since May 2000. Analysts had expected the consumer price inflation to decrease to 0.7%.
On monthly basis, consumer price inflation in the U.K. was flat in December, missing forecasts of a 0.1% rise, after a 0.3% decline in November.
Consumer price inflation excluding food, energy, alcohol, and tobacco increased to an annual rate of 1.3% in November from 1.2% in November. Analysts had expected the consumer inflation to climb to 1.4%.
The Bank of England's inflation target is about 2%.
Investors speculate that Bank of England will keep interest rates on hold for a longer period.
The Bank of England Governor Mark Carney said in an interview with the BBC on Tuesday that he expects inflation to decline in coming months, but he believes inflation will be near the central bank's 2% target within two years.
Carney noted that interest rate hike is still possible, but future increases will be "a little more gradual and limited" now.
The New Zealand dollar traded lower against the U.S. dollar in the absence of any major economic reports from New Zealand. Falling oil prices weigh on the kiwi.
The Australian dollar traded higher against the U.S. dollar. In the overnight trading session, the Aussie traded lower against the greenback in the absence of any major economic reports from Australia. Falling oil prices weigh on the Aussie.
The Japanese yen traded higher against the U.S. dollar. In the overnight trading session, the yen traded mixed against the greenback after the better-than-expected economic data from Japan. Japan's adjusted current account surplus declined to 433.0 billion yen in November from 883.4 billion yen in October, beating expectations for a fall to 133.2 billion yen.
Japan's economy watchers' current conditions index rose to 45.2 in December from 41.5 in November, exceeding expectations for an increase to 44.3.
Japan's economy watchers' future conditions index climbed to 46.7 in December from 44.0 in November.
Gold futures rose today, while reaching the 11-week high, driven by speculation about a Greek exit from the euro zone.
According to surveys, two weeks before the parliamentary elections in Greece, with a small margin is still leading opposition party, which opposes the program cuts in social spending. There are rumors that Greece may exit the euro zone if the opposition party wins the election, but on Sunday the leader of the party said that Greece will remain part of the eurozone.
Analysts believe that gold is going up because of the growing demand for safer assets than you can buy in the stock market and in comparison with the US dollar. At the same time, at the end of 2015 gold could drop to new lows, noted in Barclays. "We expect that gold prices will flock to new lows in 2015, met with strong obstacles in the form of a strengthening of the dollar against the euro to levels that were observed more than 10 years, and the first nine years of rising interest rates in the United States," - said in a report of the bank's market dragmetalov.
Some investors worried that the recent fall in oil prices have a negative impact on the energy-exporting countries and worsen the state of the global economy. On the dynamics of trade is also affected by uncertainty about the timing of the Fed raising rates. Market participants expect growth rates in June, now believe that the Fed may hold off on such a step, as wage growth in the US slowed in December, despite a substantial increase in employment. In addition, the fall of oil prices to a minimum of 5.5 years, putting downward pressure on inflation in the country, which is also an argument in favor of more recent rate hikes.
Meanwhile, the pressure on prices has the situation in the US stock market. The demand for gold as a safe asset faded against the background of solid growth in US equity markets. Meanwhile, the yield on 10-year bonds recovered in the area of 1.933%. Gold can go into the red zone, if the stock markets continue to rally, stimulating the growth of bond yields.
The cost of the February gold futures on the COMEX today rose to 1235.60 dollars per ounce.
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released its Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) report on Tuesday. Job openings climbed to 4.972 million in November from 4.830 million in October. October's figure was revised down from 4.834 million.
Analysts had expected job openings to rise to 4.848 million.
The number of job openings was little changed for total private (4.5 million), while increased for government (459,000) in November.
The hires rate was 3.6% in November, unchanged from October.
Total separations fell to 4.623 million in November from 4.863 million in October.
The JOLTS report is one of the Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen's favourite labour market indicators.
The European Central Bank (ECB) executive board member Benoit Coeure told German newspaper Die Welt that the central bank has discussed about whether to implement a sovereign bond-buying programme last week. He noted that the ECB could take a decision on its policy meeting on January 22.
Coeure pointed out that Greece's parliament election on January 25 would not influence the ECB's monetary policy. He added that Greece had "a large interest to remain a member of the euro and to push on with the reforms".
Coeure said that "falling oil price strengthens the risk in the current environment that people lose trust in our inflation goal".
U.S. stock-index futures climbed as Apple Inc. and Amazon.com Inc. paced gains in technology shares and Alcoa Inc.'s earnings spurred speculation the economy is picking up speed.
Global markets:
Nikkei 17,087.71 -110.02 -0.64%
Hang Seng 24,215.97 +189.51 +0.79%
Shanghai Composite 3,236.4 +7.08 +0.22%
FTSE 6,533.8 +32.38 +0.50%
CAC 4,281.22 +52.98 +1.25%
DAX 9,893.75 +111.85 +1.14%
Crude oil $44.86 (-2.76%)
Gold $1239.10 (+0.51%)
(company / ticker / price / change, % / volume)
Walt Disney Co | DIS | 94.53 | +0.07% | 2.0K |
Nike | NKE | 96.00 | +0.15% | 0.2K |
Microsoft Corp | MSFT | 46.69 | +0.19% | 22.6K |
The Coca-Cola Co | KO | 42.72 | +0.19% | 0.2K |
Cisco Systems Inc | CSCO | 28.15 | +0.36% | 30.5K |
International Business Machines Co... | IBM | 157.01 | +0.36% | 0.7K |
Merck & Co Inc | MRK | 62.56 | +0.42% | 50.8K |
Intel Corp | INTC | 36.76 | +0.44% | 7.1K |
Verizon Communications Inc | VZ | 47.29 | +0.45% | 0.7K |
3M Co | MMM | 161.50 | +0.47% | 3.0K |
Goldman Sachs | GS | 185.94 | +0.47% | 2.9K |
Johnson & Johnson | JNJ | 105.07 | +0.47% | 1.4K |
Procter & Gamble Co | PG | 90.35 | +0.48% | 0.1K |
JPMorgan Chase and Co | JPM | 59.12 | +0.49% | 0.1K |
Home Depot Inc | HD | 104.96 | +0.52% | 0.8K |
AT&T Inc | T | 33.67 | +0.54% | 6.5K |
General Electric Co | GE | 24.11 | +0.54% | 1.8K |
Visa | V | 261.44 | +0.55% | 0.4K |
McDonald's Corp | MCD | 93.52 | +0.55% | 0.1K |
Boeing Co | BA | 131.62 | +0.57% | 0.9K |
United Technologies Corp | UTX | 115.10 | +0.57% | 2.8K |
UnitedHealth Group Inc | UNH | 103.14 | +0.58% | 1.2K |
Caterpillar Inc | CAT | 87.43 | +0.62% | 0.2K |
E. I. du Pont de Nemours and Co | DD | 75.19 | +1.05% | 4.4K |
Pfizer Inc | PFE | 32.72 | -0.15% | 0.1K |
Chevron Corp | CVX | 105.42 | -0.43% | 3.9K |
Exxon Mobil Corp | XOM | 89.88 | -0.50% | 22.3K |
Upgrades:
Amazon.com (AMZN) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Citigroup
Apple (AAPL) upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Credit Suisse, target raised to $130 from $110
Downgrades:
Other:
EUR/USD: $1.1825(E253mn), $1.1850(E504mn), $1.1890(E269mn), $1.1925(E585mn)
USD/JPY: Y118.50($250mn), Y119.00($366mn), Y119.50($630mn)
EUR/GBP: Stg0.7800(E300mn)
AUD/USD: $0.8090(A$630mn), $0.8150(A$1.2bn), $0.8250(A$1.5bn)
The Bank of England Governor Mark Carney said in an interview with the BBC on Tuesday that he expects inflation to decline in coming months, but he believes inflation will be near the central bank's 2% target within two years.
Carney noted that interest rate hike is still possible, but future increases will be "a little more gradual and limited" now.
According to official data on Tuesday, the U.K. consumer price index declined to an annual rate of 0.5% in December from 1.0% in November, the lowest level since May 2000.
Economic calendar (GMT0):
(Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual)
00:01 United Kingdom BRC Retail Sales Monitor y/y December +0.9% -0.4%
02:00 China Trade Balance, bln December 54.50 49.85 49.61
05:00 Japan Eco Watchers Survey: Current December 41.5 44.3 45.2
05:00 Japan Eco Watchers Survey: Outlook December 44.0 46.7
09:30 United Kingdom Retail Price Index, m/m December -0.2% +0.2% +0.2%
09:30 United Kingdom Retail prices, Y/Y December +2.0% +1.6% +1.6%
09:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Input (MoM) December -1.0% +0.3% -2.4%
09:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Input (YoY) December -8.8% -12.2% -10.7%
09:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Output (MoM) December -0.2% Revised From +0.2% -0.4% -0.3%
09:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Output (YoY) December -0.6% Revised From -0.1% -0.6% -0.8%
09:30 United Kingdom HICP, m/m December -0.3% +0.1% 0.0%
09:30 United Kingdom HICP, Y/Y December +1.0% +0.7% +0.5%
09:30 United Kingdom HICP ex EFAT, Y/Y December +1.2% +1.4% +1.3%
The U.S. dollar traded mixed to higher against the most major currencies ahead of the U.S. job openings figures. Job openings are expected to rise to 4.85 million in November from 4.83 million in October.
The euro declined against the U.S. dollar in the absence of any major economic reports from the Eurozone. Political uncertainty in Greece and inflation data from the Eurozone still weighed on the euro.
Investors speculate that the European Central Bank could decide on its policy meeting on January 22 to purchase government bonds.
The British pound traded higher against the U.S. dollar, recovering its losses after the weaker-than-expected consumer price inflation from the U.K. The U.K. consumer price index declined to an annual rate of 0.5% in December from 1.0% in November. That was the lowest level since May 2000. Analysts had expected the consumer price inflation to decrease to 0.7%.
On monthly basis, consumer price inflation in the U.K. was flat in December, missing forecasts of a 0.1% rise, after a 0.3% decline in November.
Consumer price inflation excluding food, energy, alcohol, and tobacco increased to an annual rate of 1.3% in November from 1.2% in November. Analysts had expected the consumer inflation to climb to 1.4%.
The Bank of England's inflation target is about 2%.
Investors speculate that Bank of England will keep interest rates on hold for a longer period.
EUR/USD: the currency pair fell to $1.1775
GBP/USD: the currency pair increased to $1.5179
USD/JPY: the currency pair traded mixed
The most important news that are expected (GMT0):
15:00 U.S. JOLTs Job Openings November 4834 4848
EUR/USD
Offers $1.1950/60, $1.1930, $1.1890-900
Bids $1.1762/60, $1.1750, $1.1700
GBP/USD
Offers $1.5195/205
Bids $1.5055/50, $1.5000
AUD/USD
Offers $0.8300, $0.8250, $0.8200, $0.8180/85
Bids $0.8100, $0.8060/50
EUR/JPY
Offers Y141.50, Y141.00
Bids Y139.00, Y138.50
USD/JPY
Offers Y120.00, Y119.50, Y119.00
Bids Y118.00, Y117.50
EUR/GBP
Offers stg0.7900, stg0.7880/85
Bids stg0.7720, stg0.7700
According to official data, China's trade surplus narrowed to $49.61 billion in December from $54.47bn in November, missing expectations for a surplus of $49.85.
China's exports increased 9.7% in December from a year earlier, while imports declined 2.4% from a year earlier.
Exports were driven by stronger demand from the U.S., Europe and Southeast Asia.
On the import side, the country has benefited from lower global energy and commodity prices.
For the full year 2014, China reported a trade surplus of $382.46 billion, compared with a surplus of $259.75 billion in 2013. Exports increased at annual rate of 6.1% in 2014, down from a rise of 7.9% in 2013. Imports rose 0.4%, down from an increase of 7.3% in 2013.
European indices added in today's trading continuing to rise for a second day supported by retail stocks as low oil prices could spur consumer spending. The energy sector scored losses as oil is trading near six-year lows continuing its slump. Brent dropped below USD45 in today's trading. U.K.'s consumer prices slowed to 0.5% in December, below estimates of 0.7%, falling under 1% with the lowest reading since May 2000.
Investors are looking forward to the European Central Bank policy meeting taking place on January 22nd and the Greek elections on January 25th where the anti-austerity party Syriza, that wants to renegotiate debt, is leading polls. As the Eurozone faces the risk of deflation the possibility of the ECB to buy government bonds is growing. Low oil prices further spur the speculations that the ECB will have to act rather sooner than later.
In today's session the FTSE 100 index added +0.59% quoted at 6,539.94 adding to its early gains. France's CAC 40 gained +0.94% trading at 4,268.10 after a negative start. Germany's DAX 30 is currently trading +1.06% at 9,885.92.
Brent crude and West Texas Intermediate continue to slump today for a third consecutive day with Crude trading below USD45 a barrel amid speculations on increasing U.S. stockpiles. Prices are trading near 6-year lows as Goldman Sachs and Societe Generale cut its short-term outlook for oil prices yesterday as the OPEC still resists to cut output and global demand is weakening. Today OPEC officials re-affirmed that the organization is going to fight for market share, blaming the U.S. shale drillers of oversupplying the market. Mohammed al-Mazroui statet that the "strategy will not change" at a Gulf energy conference in Abu Dhabi and that high-cost producers should be the first to cut production.
Market participants look ahead to the U.S. API Crude Oil Inventories due at 21:30 GMT to get further information on the strength of demand of the world's largest consumer of oil.
Brent Crude lost -3.67%, currently trading at USD45.69 a barrel. West Texas Intermediate declined by -3.32% currently quoted at USD44.54 adding to this week's massive sell-off.
Gold prices rose in today's session for a third consecutive day with the precious metal currently quoted at USD1,239.40, +0,51% a troy ounce, a three-month high. Intraday gold traded as high as USD1,243.90.
Gold in recent days has been supported, as political uncertainty in Greece and concerns about the impact of falling oil prices on the global economy led investors to buy the precious metal. Also growing speculations that FED will keep rates on hold for longer after mixed U.S. job data with a surprise drop in hourly wages on Friday supported the metal.
Bullion will remain under pressure in 2015 as the U.S. dollar remains strong boosted by the diverging policy outlook between the Fed and central banks in Europe and Japan and stocks markets continue to rise.
GOLD currently trading at USD1,239.40
EUR/USD: $1.1825(E253mn), $1.1850(E504mn), $1.1890(E269mn), $1.1925(E585mn)
USD/JPY: Y118.50($250mn), Y119.00($366mn), Y119.50($630mn)
EUR/GBP: Stg0.7800(E300mn)
AUD/USD: $0.8090(A$630mn), $0.8150(A$1.2bn), $0.8250(A$1.5bn)
For the first time since 2002 U.K.'s inflation slowed below 1 percent after an annualized reading of 1% in November. Analyst expected the HICP, the index calculation includes food and clothing prices, education expenditures, as well as prices for public health services, transportation, utility payments and leisure, to decline to +0.7% but data for December showed that inflation sank more-than-expected to 0.5%, the lowest since May 2000. Month over month inflation was flat at 0.0% after falling 0.3% in November. Retail prices rose by +1.6% in line with expectations. Low inflation is putting more pressure on the Bank of England to keep benchmark interest rates at a record low.
REUTERS
Oil prices plunge again as UAE defends holding production
(Reuters) - Oil prices continued their rout on Tuesday with Brentcrude and U.S. WTI both falling to their lowest in almost six years as a big OPEC producer stood by the group's decision not to cut output to tackle a glut in the market.
Oil prices have fallen 60 percent from their 2014 peaks hit in June in a rout that has seen a collapse of more than 36 percent in the past seven weeks.
February Brent crude fell almost 5 percent to a low of $45.23 a barrel by 0730 GMT, the lowest since March 2009. U.S. crude for February was trading at $44.44 a barrel, its weakest since April 2009.
Source: http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/01/13/us-markets-oil-idUSKBN0KM0BT20150113
BLOOMBERG
ECB Warning to Greece Deploys Tactic Honed in Crisis
The European Central Bank is threatening to choke off funding to Greece's lenders in the hope it won't actually need to.
Parliamentary elections on Jan. 25 hinge on whether Greek voters are willing to accept a strings-attached successor to the country's international bailout package. Under President Mario Draghi, the Frankfurt-based ECB has made its position clear: No program means no guarantee of cash from us.
Source: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2015-01-13/ecb-warning-to-greece-deploys-tactic-honed-in-crisis.html
BLOOMBERG
Pound Weakens as Inflation Weighs on U.K. Interest-Rate Outlook
The pound fell for the first time in five days versus the euro before a report economists said will show U.K. inflation slowed to below 1 percent last month for the first time since 2002.
Weakening price growth would add to data indicating the U.K. recovery is losing momentum and boost speculation that the Bank of England will keep interest rates at a record low. Consumer prices rose an annualized 0.7 percent in December after climbing at a 1 percent pace a month earlier, according to the median forecast of analysts in a Bloomberg News survey. A gauge of U.K. inflation expectations touched the lowest in more than two years.
European indices trade higher in early trading with solid gains of retail-stocks and amid speculations on full-scale quantitative easing being decided at the next ECB-meeting taking place on January 22nd. As the Eurozone faces the risk of deflation the possibility of the ECB to buy government bonds is growing.
Energy stocks were under pressure again as the slump in oil prices continued with Crude currently quoted at USD45.76 near six-year lows amid speculations that U.S. stockpiles will increase.
Markets look ahead to U.K.'s Retail and Producer Prices and HICP due at 09:30 GMT.
U.S. equity markets point to a slightly positive open.
The FTSE 100 index is currently trading +0.40% quoted at 6,527.63 points ahead of December inflation data, Germany's DAX 30 added +0.11% trading at 9,793.07. France's CAC 40 declined by -0.03%, currently trading at 4,226.77 points.
U.S. markets closed lower on Monday for a straight second trading session. Stocks on Wall Street were weighed by a slump in oil prices after Goldman Sachs cut its price forecasts for 2015 sending the energy-sector south. The DOW JONES index lost -0.54% or 96 points, closing at 17,640.84. The S&P 500 declined by -0.81% with a final quote of 2,028.26. Global economic weakness, slumping oil prices and the upcoming Greek elections continue to weigh on the markets.
Hong Kong's Hang Seng added +0.85% to 24,231.34 points. China's Shanghai Composite closed at 3,236.40 points, a gain of +0.22% as market participants continued to take profits. China's trade balance fell more-than-expected, official data showed on Tuesday. The trade balance fell to a surplus of 49.1 billion in December from 54.50 in November. Analysts expected a reading of 49.85 billion.
Japan's Nikkei, after being closed yesterday due to a bank holiday in Japan lost -0.64% closing at 17,087.71 points. Weak U.S. markets and the fall in oil prices weighed the index down but losses were trimmed as the Japanese yen weakened against the greenback. . The current Eco Watchers Survey, the index for Japan's current economic climate rose unexpectedly to 45.2 points beating forecasts of 44.3 after it plunged to a 12-month low of 41.5 in November. The index outlook rose by 2.7 to 46.7 from a previous reading of 44.0 points. Yesterday current account data showed a surplus of 433 for November. Analysts expected a reading of 133.2.
(Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual
00:01 United Kingdom BRC Retail Sales Monitor y/y December +0.9% -0.4%
02:00 China New Loans December 853 885
02:00 China Trade Balance, bln December 54.50 49.85 49.1
05:00 Japan Eco Watchers Survey: Current December 41.5 44.3 45.2
05:00 Japan Eco Watchers Survey: Outlook December 44.0 46.7
The U.S. dollar traded mixed against the most major currencies recovering from Friday's losses. The U.S. currency declined on Friday as investors speculated that the Fed might delay its first interest rate hike due to the weak wage growth and in the absence of sizeable inflationary pressure. Average hourly earnings decreased 0.2% in December. The U.S. Labor Department released the labour market data on Friday. The U.S. economy added 252,000 jobs in December. The U.S. unemployment rate fell to 5.6% in December from 5.8% in November, exceeding expectations for a decline to 5.7%.
The Australian dollar traded almost flat against the U.S. dollar with China's trade balance falling more-than-expected, official data showed on Tuesday. The trade balance fell to 49.1 billion in December from 54.50 in November. Analysts expected a reading of 49.85 billion. China is Australia's most important trade partner.
New Zealand's dollar traded lower further retreating from monthly highs against the greenback reached on January 9th in the absence of any major economic reports from New Zealand.
The Japanese yen traded weaker and declined from a four-week high against the greenback during the Asian after Japanese markets were closed yesterday for a holiday. Recovering Asian stocks damped the demand for the haven currency. The current Eco Watchers Survey, the index for Japan's current economic climate rose unexpectedly to 45.2 points beating forecasts of 44.3 after it plunged to a 12-month low of 41.5 in November. The index outlook rose by 2.7 to 46.7 from a previous reading of 44.0 points. Yesterday current account data showed a surplus of 433 for November. Analysts expected a reading of 133.2.
EUR/USD: the euro traded almost flat against the greenback
(time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)
09:30 United Kingdom Retail Price Index, m/m December -0.2% +0.2%
09:30 United Kingdom Retail prices, Y/Y December +2.0% +1.6%
09:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Input (MoM) December -1.0% +0.3%
09:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Input (YoY) December -8.8% -12.2%
09:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Output (MoM) December +0.2% -0.4%
09:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Output (YoY) December -0.1% -0.6%
09:30 United Kingdom HICP, m/m December -0.3% +0.1%
09:30 United Kingdom HICP, Y/Y December +1.0% +0.7%
09:30 United Kingdom HICP ex EFAT, Y/Y December +1.2% +1.4%
15:00 U.S. JOLTs Job Openings November 4834 4848
19:00 U.S. Federal budget December -56.8 24.9
21:30 U.S. API Crude Oil Inventories January -4.0
EUR / USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.2031 (1805)
$1.1975 (884)
$1.1916 (450)
Price at time of writing this review: $ 1.1828
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.1766 (1123)
$1.1722 (1603)
$1.1664 (1809)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date February, 6 is 46341 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,2100 (4227);
- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date February, 6 is 52380 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1600 (5911);
- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.13 versus 1.13 from the previous trading day according to data from January, 12
GBP/USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.5404 (362)
$1.5307 (316)
$1.5211 (788)
Price at time of writing this review: $1.5154
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.5091 (1415)
$1.4993 (1045)
$1.4895 (1241)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date February, 6 is 13950 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,5800 (1108);
- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date February, 6 is 15601 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,5100 (1415);
- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.12 versus 1.13 from the previous trading day according to data from January, 12
* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.
** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.
(raw materials / closing price /% change)
Light Crude 45.71 -0.78%
Gold 1,233.40 +0.05%
(index / closing price / change items /% change)
Hang Seng 24,026.46 +106.51 +0.45%
Shanghai Composite 3,231.06 -54.35 -1.65%
FTSE 100 6,501.42 +0.28 0.00%
CAC 40 4,228.24 +49.17 +1.18%
Xetra DAX 9,781.9 +133.40 +1.38%
S&P 500 2,028.26 -16.55 -0.81%
NASDAQ Composite 4,664.71 -39.36 -0.84%
Dow Jones 17,640.84 -96.53 -0.54%
(pare/closed(GMT +2)/change, %)
EUR/USD $1,1833 -0,08%
GBP/USD $1,5171 +0,05%
USD/CHF Chf1,0146 +0,07%
USD/JPY Y118,34 -0,17%
EUR/JPY Y140,03 -0,26%
GBP/JPY Y179,53 -0,13%
AUD/USD $0,8155 -0,58%
NZD/USD $0,7781 -0,75%
USD/CAD C$1,1972 +0,89%
(time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)
00:01 United Kingdom BRC Retail Sales Monitor y/y December +0.9%
02:00 China New Loans December 853 885
02:00 China Trade Balance, bln December 54.50 49.85
05:00 Japan Eco Watchers Survey: Current December 41.5 44.3
05:00 Japan Eco Watchers Survey: Outlook December 44.0
09:30 United Kingdom Retail Price Index, m/m December -0.2% +0.2%
09:30 United Kingdom Retail prices, Y/Y December +2.0% +1.6%
09:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Input (MoM) December -1.0% +0.3%
09:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Input (YoY) December -8.8% -12.2%
09:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Output (MoM) December +0.2% -0.4%
09:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Output (YoY) December -0.1% -0.6%
09:30 United Kingdom HICP, m/m December -0.3% +0.1%
09:30 United Kingdom HICP, Y/Y December +1.0% +0.7%
09:30 United Kingdom HICP ex EFAT, Y/Y December +1.2% +1.4%
15:00 U.S. JOLTs Job Openings November 4834 4848
19:00 U.S. Federal budget December -56.8 24.9
21:30 U.S. API Crude Oil Inventories January -4.0