(time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)
00:00 Australia Consumer Inflation Expectation October 3.2%
00:30 Australia New Motor Vehicle Sales (MoM) September -1.6%
00:30 Australia New Motor Vehicle Sales (YoY) September 2.1%
00:30 Australia Unemployment rate September 6.2% 6.3%
00:30 Australia Changing the number of employed September 17.4 5
04:30 Japan Industrial Production (MoM) (Finally) August -0.8% -0.5%
04:30 Japan Industrial Production (YoY) (Finally) August 0.0% 0.2%
12:30 U.S. NY Fed Empire State manufacturing index October -14.67 -8
12:30 U.S. Continuing Jobless Claims October 2204 2195
12:30 U.S. Initial Jobless Claims October 263 270
12:30 U.S. CPI, m/m September -0.1% -0.2%
12:30 U.S. CPI, Y/Y September 0.2% -0.1%
12:30 U.S. CPI excluding food and energy, m/m September 0.1% 0.1%
12:30 U.S. CPI excluding food and energy, Y/Y September 1.8% 1.8%
14:00 U.S. Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey October -6.0 -1
14:30 U.S. FOMC Member Dudley Speak
15:00 U.S. Crude Oil Inventories October 3.073 2.5
21:45 New Zealand CPI, q/q Quarter III 0.4%
21:45 New Zealand CPI, y/y Quarter III 0.4%
U.S. stocks retreated for a second day, with investors anxious about corporate profits as Wal-Mart Stores Inc. predicted earnings will decline next year and quarterly results from JPMorgan Chase & Co. disappointed.
Wal-Mart's tumble sent equities lower after shares had fluctuated in early trading. The S&P 500 has lost momentum after its strongest week since December as investors look to earnings season for a better gauge on the outlook for corporate profits. The index has gained 3.9 percent this month, and is up 6.8 percent from an August selloff closing low as it fights back from the worst quarter since 2011.
Analysts project profits for S&P 500 members dropped 7.2 percent in the third quarter. Goldman Sachs Group Inc., Citigroup Inc. and UnitedHealth Group Inc. are among 16 companies in the index due to report results on Thursday.
Asian and European shares slipped today after a report showed China's factory gate deflation extended a record stretch of declines while inflation moderated. Weak imports data out of China helped send the S&P 500 lower yesterday.
U.S. data today showed retail sales in September rose less than forecast as Americans increased their savings, while the prior month was weaker than previously reported. Sluggish sales may raise concern about whether the staying power of consumer spending, which accounts for about 70 percent of the economy, at a time overseas demand is also cooling. A separate report showed falling energy costs damped wholesale inflation, as the producer price index decreased the most since January.
Federal Reserve officials last month left interest rates unchanged, opting to monitor the risk that China's slowdown could spill over to the U.S. After today's data from both China and the U.S., traders are now pricing in a 29 percent chance the central bank raises rates this year, while odds of a March increase are about 49 percent, down from 62 percent on Monday.
Fed Governor Daniel Tarullo told CNBC yesterday that he doesn't currently favor raising rates in 2015. That lines him up with fellow Governor Lael Brainard, who made the case on Monday for patience, and diverges from the majority of Federal Open Market Committee members including Chair Janet Yellen.
The central bank's Beige Book report on regional economic conditions released today showed the economy grew modestly with little inflation pressure from mid-August to early October as a strong dollar weighed on manufacturing and tourism. Six of the 12 Fed districts called the expansion "modest," while three reported "moderate" growth.
The US dollar fell against major currencies after weak data on retail sales in September, which signaled the prospects of slowing US economic growth.
In addition, the index of producer prices of final demand (PPI) fell more than expected, indicating continued weakness in pricing pressure. Slowing economic growth and low inflation will exert additional pressure on the Fed, forcing to postpone raising interest rates, which, according to investor expectations, a negative impact on the US currency.
US consumers increased their spending in September, providing support to the economy, despite a slowdown in employment growth and uncertainty over the global outlook. This was reported in the Ministry of Commerce.
According to data seasonally adjusted sales in retail stores and restaurants rose in September by 0.1% after a zero change in August (revised from 0.2%). The last change was due to an increase in car sales by 1.8%. Meanwhile, retail sales excluding autos fell 0.3% vs. -0.1% in the previous month (revised from 0.3%). Experts had expected overall sales to grow by 0.2%, while sales excluding autos fell 0.1%. Excluding gasoline and food retailers rose 0.4% in September. Except of motor vehicles and gasoline, retail sales remained unchanged. We also learned that in annual terms, retail sales fell by 1.1% after falling 0.8% in August.
Recall Consumer spending accounts for about 70% of economic activity in the United States and are a key indicator of the health of the economy. Retail sales represent a large share of total consumer spending.
The Department of Commerce also reported that sales of cars and auto parts increased by 9.3% compared to September 2014. Gasoline prices have fallen to an average $ 2.46 per gallon, compared to $ 2.72 per gallon in August.
Producer prices in the US fell sharply in September, beating forecasts of experts, which was mainly due to the fall in fuel costs and a stronger dollar.
The Labor Department said that the Producer Price Index, which measures prices that companies receive for goods and services declined by 0.5% in September. With the exception of volatile prices for food and energy, the index fell by 0.3%. Economists had expected overall prices reduced by 0.2%, while the benchmark will increase by 0.1%.
In annual terms, producer prices decreased in September by 1.1%, while writing the 8th consecutive drop. Meanwhile, basic prices rose by 0.5%.
Recall index measures the prices from the perspective of the seller, but in general is in close cooperation with other inflation indicators. This year, these sensors have historically been weak due to low oil prices, a strong dollar and weak demand abroad.
The report also stated that in September, producer prices for goods decreased by 1.2%, showing the maximum decline since January. Energy prices decreased by 5.9%, accounting for the bulk of the decline. Meanwhile, food prices fell by 0.8% and prices of services dropped by 0.4%.
Fed officials are searching for signs of firming inflation, while they decide when to start raising interest rates for the first time in a decade. Officials said they want to see clear signs of inflation to the 2% target before the Fed increase. Recall, the price index for personal consumption expenditures - the Fed's preferred inflation gauge - rose in August by 0.3% per annum.
The pound rose against the dollar substantially, reaching a maximum value since September 22, that was caused by the publication of the controversial data on employment and wages in Britain. The Office for National Statistics reported that the unemployment rate in the UK unexpectedly fell in June-August, while reaching its lowest level since mid-2008, but the increase in average earnings slowed moderately. According to data, the unemployment rate dropped to 5.4 percent compared with 5.5 percent in the three months to July. The last reading was minimal in the second quarter of 2008, before the start of the financial crisis. Experts expect that the unemployment rate will remain unchanged. The number of employees increased by 140 000 people, while increasing the employment rate to 73.6 percent, the highest since the beginning of statistics in 1971, while the number of unemployed decreased 79,000, recording the biggest drop in three months through January. The total income of workers - including bonuses - increased by 3.0 percent compared with 2.9 percent in the three months to July. It predicted that the figure will rise to 3.1 percent. Excluding bonuses, average weekly earnings increased by 2.8 percent in the three months to August compared with 2.9 percent in the previous three-month period (July). Recall, an increase of 2.9 percent had the greatest in the last six years. The data also showed that the number of people claiming unemployment benefits rose in September by 4,600, to just over 796.000 people. It was the first time since mid-2012, when the number of calls increased for the second month in a row.
Franck has appreciated against the dollar, supported by data from Switzerland. A survey conducted by the ZEW Institute and Credit Suisse Group, showed that the index of Swiss economic expectations improved significantly in October, thus reaching its highest level since March 2014. According to the index of investor expectations rose this month to 18.3 points versus 9.7 points in September. It is worth emphasizing the expectations index shows a continuous rise after a sharp decline in February, which was caused by the decision of the SNB to abandon the peg the franc to the euro at the level of 1.2 euro, resulting in a sharp appreciation of the franc. Since then, the franc has fallen significantly and is now trading at 1.0900 per euro. However, at the end of its last meeting, held on 17 September the SNB said the franc is still considerably overvalued, despite some depreciation. The report also stated that only 13.2 per cent of respondents expect worsening economic situation in Switzerland, 55 percent do not foresee any significant changes and 31.5 percent predict improvement. In terms of economic expectations, 69% of respondents predict an increase of 0.5% -1% in Switzerland in 2015, and about half of the expected growth of 1% to 1.5% in 2016.
Polish equity market closed lower on Wednesday. The broad measure, the WIG index, lost 0.27%. Sector performance within the WIG Index was mixed. Oil and gas sector (+1.75%) was best performer, while utilities (-1.61%) recorded the worst result.
The large-cap benchmark, the WIG30 Index, fell by 0.25%. Within the index components, TAURON PE (WSE: TPE) was the worst-performing name, tumbling by 2.76% on news that Poland plans a share swap with the company to help finance its investment plans, including investments in the coal mining sector. The other notable losers were LPP (WSE: LPP) and ENEA (WSE: ENA), plunging 2.26% and 2.1% respectively. On the other side of the ledger, oil and gas sector names led the advancers, with LOTOS (WSE: LTS), PGNIG (WSE: PGN) and PKN ORLEN (WSE: PKN) rebounding by 1.5%-3.74% after yesterday's sharp declines. EUROCASH (WSE: EUR) also was among outperformers, gaining 2.17%.
Stock indices lower as the Chinese inflation data weighed. The Chinese National Bureau of Statistics released its consumer and producer price inflation data for China on Wednesday. The Chinese consumer price index (CPI) rose at annual rate of 1.6% in September, missing expectations for a 1.8% increase, after a 2.0% gain in August.
The Chinese producer price index (PPI) dropped 5.9% in September, in line with expectations, after a 5.9% decline in August. It was the biggest decline since 2009.
European Central Bank (ECB) Executive Board Member Yves Mersch said in an interview with the Asian Banker on Wednesday that the central bank's asset-buying programme was successful.
Meanwhile, the economic data from the Eurozone was weaker than expected. Eurostat released its industrial production data for the Eurozone on Wednesday. Industrial production in the Eurozone declined 0.5% in August, in line with expectations, after a 0.8% gain in July. July's figure was revised up from a 0.6% rise.
The decrease was driven by declines in energy, non-durable consumer goods and capital output. Energy output dropped 3.0% in August, non-durable consumer goods were down 0.1%, while capital goods output fell by 1.0%.
On a yearly basis, Eurozone's industrial production gained 0.9% in August, exceeding expectations for a 1.8% rise, after a 1.7% increase in July. July's figure was revised down from a 1.9% gain.
The increase was driven by rises in durable and non-durable consumer goods and capital goods. Durable consumer goods climbed by 4.5% in August from a year ago, capital goods rose by 2.8%, while non-durable consumer goods gained by 0.1%.
The Office for National Statistics (ONS) released its labour market data on Wednesday. The U.K. unemployment rate fell to 5.4% in the June to August quarter from 5.5% in the May to July quarter. It was the lowest reading since the second quarter of 2008.
Analysts had expected the unemployment rate to remain unchanged at 5.5%.
U.K. unemployment in the June to August period dropped by 79,000 to 1.7 million from the previous quarter.
Average weekly earnings, excluding bonuses, climbed by 2.8% in the June to August quarter, missing expectations for a 3.0% rise, after a 2.9% gain in the May to June quarter.
Average weekly earnings, including bonuses, rose by 3.0% in the June to August quarter, missing expectations for a gain of 3.1%, after a 2.9% increase in the May to June quarter.
The Bank of England monitors closely the wages growth it considers when to start hiking its interest rate.
Indexes on the close:
Name Price Change Change %
FTSE 100 6,269.61 -72.67 -1.15%
DAX 9,915.85 -116.97 -1.17%
CAC 40 4,609.03 -34.35 -0.74%
WTI crude oil fell on concerns over the global oil oversupply. The International Energy Agency's (IEA) agency said in its monthly report on Tuesday that global oil oversupply will remain next year as global demand is expected to slow. Global oil demand growth is expected to decline to 1.2 million barrels per day (mb/d) in 2016 from 1.8 mb/d in 2015, down 150,000 barrels per day from its September estimate.
Kuwait's oil minister Ali al-Omair said on Tuesday that OPEC will discuss Venezuela's proposal an oil price floor of $70-$100 per barrel at its next meeting this month.
Venezuelan Oil Minister Eulogio del Pino said on Tuesday that eight non-OPEC countries (Azerbaijan, Brazil, Colombia, Kazakhstan, Norway, Mexico, Oman and Russia) have been invited to ameeting on October 21.
Earlier, the weak inflation data from China weighed on oil prices. The Chinese National Bureau of Statistics released its consumer and producer price inflation data for China on Wednesday. The Chinese consumer price index (CPI) rose at annual rate of 1.6% in September, missing expectations for a 1.8% increase, after a 2.0% gain in August.
The Chinese producer price index (PPI) dropped 5.9% in September, in line with expectations, after a 5.9% decline in August. It was the biggest decline since 2009.
Market participants are awaiting the release of U.S. crude oil inventories data. The American Petroleum Institute (API) is scheduled to release its U.S. oil inventories data later in the day, and U.S. oil inventories data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration is expected on Thursday.
WTI crude oil for November delivery declined to $45.94 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
Brent crude oil for November increased to $49.25 a barrel on ICE Futures Europe.
Major U.S. stock-indexes fell on Wednesday as investors assessed earnings from major U.S. banks and health care stocks bounced back. Fresh economic data from China, however, appeared to limit gains - consumer inflation in the world's second-biggest economy cooled more than expected in September. While the health of China's economy continues to remain a concern, investors are focusing on company results.
Dow stocks mixed (17 in negative area, 13 in positive). Top looser - Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (WMT, -9.25%). Top gainer - E. I. du Pont de Nemours and Company (DD, +0.88%).
S&P index sectors mixed. Top looser - Services (-1.1%). Top gainer - Utilities (+0,6%).
At the moment:
Dow 16906.00 -67.00 -0.39%
S&P 500 1989.50 -4.50 -0.23%
Nasdaq 100 4331.00 -10.25 -0.24%
10 Year yield 2,00% -0,06
Oil 46.32 -0.34 -0.73%
Gold 1176.90 +11.50 +0.99%
Gold price increased on a weaker U.S. dollar. The greenback declined against other currencies after the release of the weaker-than-expected U.S. retail sales data. The U.S. Commerce Department released the retail sales data on Wednesday. The U.S. retail sales climbed 0.1% in September, missing expectations for a 0.2% decrease, after a flat reading in August.
The increase was mainly driven by higher automobiles purchases. Automobiles and car parts sales rose 1.7% in September.
Retail sales excluding automobiles decreased 0.3% in September, missing forecasts of a 0.1% decline, after a 0.1% fall in August.
These figures could mean that the Fed will not start raising its interest rate this year.
Earlier, the weak Chinese inflation data supported gold price. The Chinese National Bureau of Statistics released its consumer and producer price inflation data for China on Wednesday. The Chinese consumer price index (CPI) rose at annual rate of 1.6% in September, missing expectations for a 1.8% increase, after a 2.0% gain in August.
The Chinese producer price index (PPI) dropped 5.9% in September, in line with expectations, after a 5.9% decline in August. It was the biggest decline since 2009.
December futures for gold on the COMEX today climbed to 1178.70 dollars per ounce.
Reuters reported on Wednesday that China plans to extend trading hours for the yuan, according to people familiar with the matter. China's foreign exchange market should be open to 23:30 local time (15:30 GMT), up from 16:30 local time (08:30 GMT) now.
The People's Bank of China did not respond to request for comment.
The Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) released its employment rate for the second quarter on Wednesday. The employment rate in the OECD area remained unchanged at 66.1% in the second quarter.
The employment rate in the Eurozone was up 0.1% to 64.3% in the second quarter, the employment rate in the United Kingdom fell by 0.1% to 72.5%, while the rate in the United States climbed 0.1% to 68.7%.
Greece's employment rate climbed by 0.9% to 50.7% in the second quarter, while the employment rate in Germany declined by 0.3% to 73.7%.
The U.S. Commerce Department released the business inventories data on Wednesday. The U.S. business inventories were flat in August, missing expectations for a 0.1% rise, after a flat reading in July. July's figure was revised down from a 0.1% increase.
Retail inventories climbed 0.3% in August, wholesale inventories were up 0.1%, while manufacturing inventories fell 0.3%.
Business sales decreased 0.6% in August, while retail sales decreased 0.1%.
The business inventories/sales ratio climbed to 1.37 months in August from 1.36 months in July. The business inventories /sales ratio is a measure of how long it would take to clear shelves.
USD/JPY 119.70 (USD 1.3bln) 119.80 (360m) 119.95-120.00 (1.2bln)
EUR/USD 1.1320-25 (EUR 316m)
GBP/USD 1.5100 (GBP (235m) 1.5200 (421m)
USD/CHF 0.9495 (USD 320m)
AUD/USD 0.7200 (384m) 0.7350 (300m)
NZD/USD 0.6485 (NZD 405m)
The German government cut its 2015 growth forecast to 1.7% on Wednesday, down from its April forecast of a 1.8% rise. The government said that the downward revision was driven by the slowdown in the Chinese economy and in other emerging economies.
The German economy is expected to expand 1.8% next year.
"The German economy is continuing to grow. It remains on track despite the subdued outlook for the global economy with weaker growth in China and commodity-rich emerging markets," German Economy Minister Sigmar Gabriel said.
German Economy Ministry said that private consumption will be the main contributor to growth this year. The ministry revised its private consumption forecasts for 2015 and 2016. The private consumption is expected to increase by 1.7% in 2015, down from April estimate of a 2.0% gain, and 2.1% in 2016, up from April estimate of a 1.8% rise.
European Central Bank (ECB) Executive Board Member Yves Mersch said in an interview with the Asian Banker on Wednesday that the central bank's asset-buying programme was successful.
"We believe that our program has been successful. After all, we had increasing risks of deflation in Europe," he said.
U.S. stock-index futures fluctuated.
Global Stocks:
Nikkei 17,891 -343.74 -1.89%
Hang Seng 22,439.91 -160.55 -0.71%
Shanghai Composite 3,262.08 -31.15 -0.95%
FTSE 6,303 -39.28 -0.62%
CAC 4,629.57 -13.81 -0.30%
DAX 9,969.33 -63.49 -0.63%
Crude oil $46.77 (+0.24%)
Gold $1172.50 (+0.58%)
The U.S. Commerce Department released the producer price index figures on Wednesday. The U.S. producer price index declined 0.5% in September, missing expectations for a 0.2% decline, after a flat rise in August.
On a yearly basis, the producer price index decreased 1.1% in September, missing forecasts of a 0.7% decline, after a 0.8% fall in August.
A stronger U.S. dollar and low oil prices still weigh on inflation.
Services prices were down 0.4% in September, while prices for goods declined 1.2%.
Food prices decreased by 0.8% in September, while energy sales declined 5.9%.
The producer price index excluding food and energy fell 0.3% in September, missing expectations for a 0.1% gain, after a 0.3% increase in August.
On a yearly basis, the producer price index excluding food and energy climbed 0.8% in September, missing forecasts of a 1.2% increase, after a 0.9% rise in August.
These figures could mean that the Fed will not start raising its interest rate this year.
(company / ticker / price / change, % / volume)
Barrick Gold Corporation, NYSE | ABX | 7.67 | 2.82% | 15.5K |
Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc., NYSE | FCX | 12.89 | 1.26% | 8.9K |
McDonald's Corp | MCD | 104.00 | 0.60% | 3.0K |
Tesla Motors, Inc., NASDAQ | TSLA | 220.05 | 0.36% | 1.6K |
Pfizer Inc | PFE | 33.05 | 0.21% | 3.2K |
ALCOA INC. | AA | 10.05 | 0.20% | 4.6K |
Yandex N.V., NASDAQ | YNDX | 12.78 | 0.20% | 0.5K |
Home Depot Inc | HD | 121.80 | 0.16% | 0.2K |
International Paper Company | IP | 42.05 | 0.05% | 0.1K |
Boeing Co | BA | 140.35 | 0.04% | 1.6K |
Wal-Mart Stores Inc | WMT | 66.75 | 0.03% | 1.5K |
The Coca-Cola Co | KO | 41.66 | 0.02% | 0.6K |
General Motors Company, NYSE | GM | 33.13 | 0.00% | 0.2K |
Starbucks Corporation, NASDAQ | SBUX | 60.16 | 0.00% | 0.5K |
Facebook, Inc. | FB | 94.10 | -0.02% | 4.0K |
Google Inc. | GOOG | 652.05 | -0.04% | 1.5K |
General Electric Co | GE | 27.85 | -0.07% | 7.6K |
Johnson & Johnson | JNJ | 95.35 | -0.10% | 1.6K |
Cisco Systems Inc | CSCO | 27.81 | -0.14% | 0.1K |
AT&T Inc | T | 33.17 | -0.15% | 2.2K |
Chevron Corp | CVX | 88.25 | -0.15% | 84.6K |
Microsoft Corp | MSFT | 46.82 | -0.15% | 2.0K |
Amazon.com Inc., NASDAQ | AMZN | 548.00 | -0.16% | 2.9K |
Walt Disney Co | DIS | 106.40 | -0.18% | 0.2K |
Goldman Sachs | GS | 180.56 | -0.23% | 2.6K |
Ford Motor Co. | F | 14.89 | -0.33% | 9.8K |
Yahoo! Inc., NASDAQ | YHOO | 32.20 | -0.43% | 16.7K |
Citigroup Inc., NYSE | C | 50.95 | -0.51% | 39.0K |
Apple Inc. | AAPL | 111.00 | -0.71% | 230.6K |
Twitter, Inc., NYSE | TWTR | 28.68 | -1.31% | 108.1K |
JPMorgan Chase and Co | JPM | 60.60 | -1.54% | 145.2K |
Intel Corp | INTC | 31.25 | -2.47% | 196.4K |
The U.S. Commerce Department released the retail sales data on Wednesday. The U.S. retail sales climbed 0.1% in September, missing expectations for a 0.2% decrease, after a flat reading in August. August's figure was revised up from a 0.2% rise.
The increase was mainly driven by higher automobiles purchases. Automobiles and car parts sales rose 1.7% in September.
Retail sales excluding automobiles decreased 0.3% in September, missing forecasts of a 0.1% decline, after a 0.1% fall in August. August's figure was revised down from a 0.3% increase.
Sales at building material and garden equipment stores declined 0.3% in September and sales at furniture stores increased 0.6%.
Sales at clothing retailers were up 0.9% in September, while sales at service stations dropped 3.2%.
These figures could mean that the Fed will not start raising its interest rate this year.
Upgrades:
Intel (INTC) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Summit Research; target $40
McDonald's (MCD) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Cleveland Research
Downgrades:
Twitter (TWTR) downgraded to Mkt Perform from Mkt Outperform at JMP Securities
Other:
Intel (INTC) reiterated at Market Perform at Cowen; target raised to $34 from $33
Intel (INTC) reiterated at Outperform at Northland Capital; target raised to $39 from $37.50
Intel (INTC) reiterated at Sector Perform at RBC Capital Mkts; target raised to $34 from $33
The Hellenic Statistical Authority released its import prices data for Greece on Wednesday. Greek import prices fell 2.2% in August, after a 2.4% decline in July.
On a yearly basis, import prices dropped 12.8% in August, after a 11.5% decrease in July.
Import prices for energy plunged by 40.4% in August, while price for non-durable consumer goods declined by 0.7%.
Prices of capital goods rose 0.2% in August, while intermediate goods prices decreased 0.1%.
Westpac Bank released its consumer confidence index for Australia on late Tuesday evening. The index climbed 4.2% in October, exceeding expectations for a 3.0% rise, after a 5.6% drop in September.
"There has been a very significant and unexpected boost to respondents' assessment of the state of the labour market which looks to be an even more significant result than the increase in the overall index," Westpac Chief Economist Bill Evans said.
Economic calendar (GMT0):
(Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual)
01:30 China PPI y/y September -5.9% -5.9% -5.9%
01:30 China CPI y/y September 2.0% 1.8% 1.6%
06:45 France CPI, m/m September 0.3% -0.4%
06:45 France CPI, y/y September 0.0% 0.0%
08:30 United Kingdom Average earnings ex bonuses, 3 m/y August 2.9% 3% 2.8%
08:30 United Kingdom Average Earnings, 3m/y August 2.9% 3.1% 3.0%
08:30 United Kingdom ILO Unemployment Rate August 5.5% 5.5% 5.4%
08:30 United Kingdom Claimant count September 1.2 -2.1 4.6
09:00 Eurozone Industrial production, (MoM) August 0.8% Revised From 0.6% -0.5% -0.5%
09:00 Eurozone Industrial Production (YoY) August 1.7% Revised From 1.9% 1.8% 0.9%
11:00 U.S. MBA Mortgage Applications October 25.5% -27.6%
The U.S. dollar traded mixed to lower against the most major currencies ahead of the release of the U.S. economic data. The U.S. retail sales are expected to rise 0.2% in September, after a 0.2% gain in August.
Retail sales excluding automobiles are expected to decline 0.1% in September, after a 0.3% increase in August.
The U.S. PPI is expected to decrease 0.1% in September, after a flat reading in August.
The U.S. producer price inflation excluding food and energy is expected to rise 0.1% in September, after a 0.3 gain in August.
The euro traded mixed against the U.S. dollar after the release of the weaker-than-expected economic data from the Eurozone. Eurostat released its industrial production data for the Eurozone on Wednesday. Industrial production in the Eurozone declined 0.5% in August, in line with expectations, after a 0.8% gain in July. July's figure was revised up from a 0.6% rise.
The decrease was driven by declines in energy, non-durable consumer goods and capital output. Energy output dropped 3.0% in August, non-durable consumer goods were down 0.1%, while capital goods output fell by 1.0%.
On a yearly basis, Eurozone's industrial production gained 0.9% in August, exceeding expectations for a 1.8% rise, after a 1.7% increase in July. July's figure was revised down from a 1.9% gain.
The increase was driven by rises in durable and non-durable consumer goods and capital goods. Durable consumer goods climbed by 4.5% in August from a year ago, capital goods rose by 2.8%, while non-durable consumer goods gained by 0.1%.
The British pound traded higher against the U.S. dollar after the release of the mixed U.K. labour market data. The Office for National Statistics (ONS) released its labour market data on Wednesday. The U.K. unemployment rate fell to 5.4% in the June to August quarter from 5.5% in the May to July quarter. It was the lowest reading since the second quarter of 2008.
Analysts had expected the unemployment rate to remain unchanged at 5.5%.
U.K. unemployment in the June to August period dropped by 79,000 to 1.7 million from the previous quarter.
Average weekly earnings, excluding bonuses, climbed by 2.8% in the June to August quarter, missing expectations for a 3.0% rise, after a 2.9% gain in the May to June quarter.
Average weekly earnings, including bonuses, rose by 3.0% in the June to August quarter, missing expectations for a gain of 3.1%, after a 2.9% increase in the May to June quarter.
The Bank of England monitors closely the wages growth it considers when to start hiking its interest rate.
The Swiss franc traded mixed against the U.S. dollar. A survey by the ZEW Institute and Credit Suisse Group showed on Wednesday that Switzerland's economic sentiment index climbed to 18.3 points in October from 9.7 points in September. It was the highest reading since March 2014.
"The ZEW-CS Indicator for Switzerland continued its upward trend in October 2015," the ZEW said.
The current conditions rose to -5.3 points in October from -9.7 points in September.
EUR/USD: the currency pair traded mixed
GBP/USD: the currency pair climbed to $1.5381
USD/JPY: the currency pair declined to Y119.42
The most important news that are expected (GMT0):
12:30 U.S. Retail sales September 0.2% 0.2%
12:30 U.S. Retail sales excluding auto September 0.3% -0.1%
12:30 U.S. Retail Sales YoY September 2.2%
12:30 U.S. PPI, m/m September 0.0% -0.2%
12:30 U.S. PPI, y/y September -0.8% -0.7%
12:30 U.S. PPI excluding food and energy, m/m September 0.3% 0.1%
12:30 U.S. PPI excluding food and energy, Y/Y September 0.9% 1.2%
14:00 U.S. Business inventories August 0.1% 0.1%
18:00 U.S. Fed's Beige Book
21:30 New Zealand Business NZ PMI September 55
The company reported Q3 earnings of $0.37 per share versus net loss of $0.01 in the corresponding period of 2014. The EPS figure was better than analysts' consensus of $0.33.
The company's revenues fell by 2.4% y/y to $20.913 bln, generally in-line with consensus of $20.842 bln.
BAC rose to $15.88 (+2.32%) in pre-market trading.
EUR/USD
Offers 1.1420-25 1.1435 1.1450 1.1475 1.1500 1.1520 1.1535 1.1550
Bids 1.1400 1.1380-85 1.1355-60 1.1330 1.1300 1.1285 1.1270 1.1250
GBP/USD
Offers 1.5300 1.5325-30 1.5360 1.5380 1.5400-10 1.5425-30 1.5450
Bids 1.5270 1.5250-55 1.5240 1.5220 1.5200 1.5185 1.5165 1.5150
EUR/GBP
Offers 0.7475-80 0.7500 0.7525-30 0.7550 0.7575 0.7600
Bids 0.7450 0.7430 0.7400 0.7385-90 0.7365 0.7350 0.7330-35 0.7300
EUR/JPY
Offers 136.75 137.00 137.25 137.50 137.80 138.00 138.30 138.50
Bids 136.35 136.20 136.00 135.80 135.50 135.25 135.00 134
USD/JPY
Offers 119.80-85 120.00 120.20 120.35 120.50 120.65 120.85 121.00
Bids 119.45-50 119.25 119.10 119.00 118.85 118.50 118.30 118.00
AUD/USD
Offers 0.7280-85 0.7300 0.7320 0.7350 0.7375 0.7400 0.7425 0.7450
Bids 0.7240 0.7220 0.7200 0.7185 0.7150 0.7130 0.7100
Stock indices traded lower on the Chinese inflation data. The Chinese National Bureau of Statistics released its consumer and producer price inflation data for China on Wednesday. The Chinese consumer price index (CPI) rose at annual rate of 1.6% in September, missing expectations for a 1.8% increase, after a 2.0% gain in August.
The Chinese producer price index (PPI) dropped 5.9% in September, in line with expectations, after a 5.9% decline in August. It was the biggest decline since 2009.
Meanwhile, the economic data from the Eurozone was weaker than expected. Eurostat released its industrial production data for the Eurozone on Wednesday. Industrial production in the Eurozone declined 0.5% in August, in line with expectations, after a 0.8% gain in July. July's figure was revised up from a 0.6% rise.
The decrease was driven by declines in energy, non-durable consumer goods and capital output. Energy output dropped 3.0% in August, non-durable consumer goods were down 0.1%, while capital goods output fell by 1.0%.
On a yearly basis, Eurozone's industrial production gained 0.9% in August, exceeding expectations for a 1.8% rise, after a 1.7% increase in July. July's figure was revised down from a 1.9% gain.
The increase was driven by rises in durable and non-durable consumer goods and capital goods. Durable consumer goods climbed by 4.5% in August from a year ago, capital goods rose by 2.8%, while non-durable consumer goods gained by 0.1%.
The Office for National Statistics (ONS) released its labour market data on Wednesday. The U.K. unemployment rate fell to 5.4% in the June to August quarter from 5.5% in the May to July quarter. It was the lowest reading since the second quarter of 2008.
Analysts had expected the unemployment rate to remain unchanged at 5.5%.
U.K. unemployment in the June to August period dropped by 79,000 to 1.7 million from the previous quarter.
Average weekly earnings, excluding bonuses, climbed by 2.8% in the June to August quarter, missing expectations for a 3.0% rise, after a 2.9% gain in the May to June quarter.
Average weekly earnings, including bonuses, rose by 3.0% in the June to August quarter, missing expectations for a gain of 3.1%, after a 2.9% increase in the May to June quarter.
The Bank of England monitors closely the wages growth it considers when to start hiking its interest rate.
Current figures:
Name Price Change Change %
FTSE 100 6,292.49 -49.79 -0.79 %
DAX 9,924.3 -108.52 -1.08 %
CAC 40 4,606.96 -36.42 -0.78 %
Kuwait's oil minister Ali al-Omair said on Tuesday that OPEC will discuss Venezuela's proposal an oil price floor of $70-$100 per barrel at its next meeting this month.
Venezuelan Oil Minister Eulogio del Pino said on Tuesday that eight non-OPEC countries (Azerbaijan, Brazil, Colombia, Kazakhstan, Norway, Mexico, Oman and Russia) have been invited to ameeting on October 21.
"The confirmations are coming in gradually and I'm personally calling ministers to ensure that the delegation is of the adequate level of authority," del Pino said.
Fed Governor Daniel Tarullo said in an interview with CNBC on Tuesday that it would not be appropriate to raise interest rates this year.
"I wouldn't expect it would be appropriate to raise rates," he said.
Tarullo added that he would like to see any signs that the inflation accelerates before to start raising interest rates.
"There have been a series of factors which, for some period of time, have kept inflation down, and that's why my own perspective is that one should watch to see some tangible evidence that allows one to develop that reasonable confidence that inflation will return to target," Fed governor said.
The Spanish statistical office INE released its final consumer price inflation data on Wednesday. Consumer price inflation in Spain was down 0.3% in September, in line with preliminary reading, after a 0.3% fall in August.
On a yearly basis, consumer prices fell by 0.9% in September from a year ago, in line with preliminary reading, after a 0.4% decline in August.
The annual decline was mainly driven by a drop in the prices of housing and transport.
The French statistical office Insee released its consumer price inflation for France on Wednesday. The French consumer price inflation decreased 0.4% in September, after a 0.3% rise in August.
On a yearly basis, the consumer price index was flat in September, after a flat reading in August.
Fresh food prices rose 7.4% year-on-year in September, while petroleum products prices dropped by 14.3%.
A survey by the ZEW Institute and Credit Suisse Group showed on Wednesday that Switzerland's economic sentiment index climbed to 18.3 points in October from 9.7 points in September. It was the highest reading since March 2014.
"The ZEW-CS Indicator for Switzerland continued its upward trend in October 2015," the ZEW said.
The current conditions rose to -5.3 points in October from -9.7 points in September.
USD/JPY 119.70 (USD 1.3bln) 119.80 (360m) 119.95-120.00 (1.2bln)
EUR/USD 1.1320-25 (EUR 316m)
GBP/USD 1.5100 (GBP (235m) 1.5200 (421m)
USD/CHF 0.9495 (USD 320m)
AUD/USD 0.7200 (384m) 0.7350 (300m)
NZD/USD 0.6485 (NZD 405m)
Eurostat released its industrial production data for the Eurozone on Wednesday. Industrial production in the Eurozone declined 0.5% in August, in line with expectations, after a 0.8% gain in July. July's figure was revised up from a 0.6% rise.
The decrease was driven by declines in energy, non-durable consumer goods and capital output. Energy output dropped 3.0% in August, non-durable consumer goods were down 0.1%, while capital goods output fell by 1.0%.
Intermediate goods increased by 0.2% in August, while durable consumer goods output climbed 2.3%.
On a yearly basis, Eurozone's industrial production gained 0.9% in August, exceeding expectations for a 1.8% rise, after a 1.7% increase in July. July's figure was revised down from a 1.9% gain.
The increase was driven by rises in durable and non-durable consumer goods and capital goods. Durable consumer goods climbed by 4.5% in August from a year ago, capital goods rose by 2.8%, while non-durable consumer goods gained by 0.1%.
Energy output was down by 1.6% in August from a year ago, while intermediate output declined by 0.6%.
The Office for National Statistics (ONS) released its labour market data on Wednesday. The U.K. unemployment rate fell to 5.4% in the June to August quarter from 5.5% in the May to July quarter. It was the lowest reading since the second quarter of 2008.
Analysts had expected the unemployment rate to remain unchanged at 5.5%.
"Today's fall in unemployment has more than outstripped the recent rises, leaving unemployment at its lowest level since mid-2008. Meanwhile, employment continues to grow with the employment rate now at its highest since records began in 1971," ONS labour market statistician, Nick Palmer said.
The claimant count rose by 4,600 people in September, missing expectations for a decline by 2,100, after an increase of 1,200 people in August.
U.K. unemployment in the June to August period dropped by 79,000 to 1.7 million from the previous quarter.
Average weekly earnings, excluding bonuses, climbed by 2.8% in the June to August quarter, missing expectations for a 3.0% rise, after a 2.9% gain in the May to June quarter.
Average weekly earnings, including bonuses, rose by 3.0% in the June to August quarter, missing expectations for a gain of 3.1%, after a 2.9% increase in the May to June quarter.
The Bank of England monitors closely the wages growth it considers when to start hiking its interest rate.
According to the BofA Merrill Lynch Fund Manager Survey, 47% of investors expect the Fed to start raising its interest rates this year, down from 58% in September. 209 investors were surveyed.
"As investors debate the timing of a rate hike, they should be anticipating a massive policy shift in the U.S., Europe and Japan from QE to fiscal stimulus in 2016," chief investment strategist at BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, Michael Hartnett, said.
39% of investors said that China is the greatest "tail risk".
The Bank of England's (BoE) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) Member Gertjan Vlieghe said on Tuesday that the economic developments abroad are main risks to the U.K. economy.
"We absolutely have to take into account that we are operating in a global environment, which is adverse, so to speak, in that there are headwinds to growth," he said.
Vlieghe replaced David Miles in September.
The Chinese National Bureau of Statistics released its consumer and producer price inflation data for China on Wednesday. The Chinese consumer price index (CPI) rose at annual rate of 1.6% in September, missing expectations for a 1.8% increase, after a 2.0% gain in August.
The inflation was driven by a rise in food prices. Food prices rose at an annual rate of 2.7% in September, while non-food prices increased 1.0%.
On a monthly basis, consumer price inflation increased 0.1% in September, after a 0.5% rise in August.
The Chinese producer price index (PPI) dropped 5.9% in September, in line with expectations, after a 5.9% decline in August. It was the biggest decline since 2009.
The New Zealand government reached its budget surplus in the fiscal year ending June 30. It was the first budget surplus since 2008. The budget surplus was driven by stronger-than-expected tax revenue.
Net debt was 25.2% of gross domestic product (GDP) in the fiscal year ending June 30, down from 25.6% from the last fiscal year.
Nominal GDP was NZ$240.6 billion in the fiscal year ending June 30, up 2.8% from the last fiscal year.
Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) Governor Graeme Wheeler said on Wednesday that the further interest rate cut by the RBNZ is likely, but it will depend on the incoming data.
Next central bank's meeting is scheduled to be on October 29.
"We remain conscious of the impact that low interest rates can have on housing demand and its potential to feed into higher price inflation. It is important also to consider whether borrowing costs are constraining investment, and the need to have sufficient capacity to cut interest rates if the global economy slows significantly," he said.
Wheeler noted that the slowdown in the Chinese economy is a risk to the global economy.
"Any substantial depreciation in the RMB (Renminbi) would have serious implications for the world economy: it would risk triggering exchange rate adjustment among competitor economies - particularly in Asia, and would spread deflationary forces across the globe," RBNZ Governor said.
EUR / USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.1485 (2374)
$1.1450 (1344)
$1.1427 (611)
Price at time of writing this review: $1.1399
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.1344 (147)
$1.1310 (549)
$1.1287 (1375)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date November, 6 is 33240 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1500 (3675);
- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date November, 6 is 43074 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1200 (4690);
- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.30 versus 1.32 from the previous trading day according to data from October, 13
GBP/USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.5602 (441)
$1.5503 (1660)
$1.5405 (1432)
Price at time of writing this review: $1.5286
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.5191 (2034)
$1.5095 (1759)
$1.4997 (1733)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date November, 6 is 17090 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,5350 (2634);
- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date November, 6 is 17227 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,5200 (2034);
- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.00 versus 1.00 from the previous trading day according to data from October, 13
* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.
** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.
(raw materials / closing price /% change)
Oil 46.57 -0.19%
Gold 1,168.50 +0.27%
(index / closing price / change items /% change)
Nikkei 225 18,234.74 -203.93 -1.11 %
Hang Seng 22,600.46 -130.47 -0.57 %
S&P/ASX 200 5,202.85 -30.01 -0.57 %
Shanghai Composite 3,293.64 +5.98 +0.18 %
FTSE 100 6,342.28 -28.90 -0.45 %
CAC 40 4,643.38 -45.32 -0.97 %
Xetra DAX 10,032.82 -87.01 -0.86 %
S&P 500 2,003.69 -13.77 -0.68 %
NASDAQ Composite 4,796.61 -42.03 -0.87 %
Dow Jones 17,081.89 -49.97 -0.29 %
(pare/closed(GMT +3)/change, %)
EUR/USD $1,1381 +0,21%
GBP/USD $1,5250 -0,61%
USD/CHF Chf0,9576 -0,50%
USD/JPY Y119,76 -0,23%
EUR/JPY Y136,30 -0,01%
GBP/JPY Y182,63 -0,84%
AUD/USD $0,7208 -2,11%
NZD/USD $0,6632 -1,18%
USD/CAD C$1,3027 +0,21%
(time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)
01:30 China PPI y/y September -5.9% -5.9%
01:30 China CPI y/y September 2.0% 1.8%
06:45 France CPI, m/m September 0.3%
06:45 France CPI, y/y September 0.0%
08:30 United Kingdom Average earnings ex bonuses, 3 m/y August 2.9% 3%
08:30 United Kingdom Average Earnings, 3m/y August 2.9% 3.1%
08:30 United Kingdom ILO Unemployment Rate August 5.5% 5.5%
08:30 United Kingdom Claimant count September 1.2 -2.1
09:00 Eurozone Industrial production, (MoM) August 0.6% -0.5%
09:00 Eurozone Industrial Production (YoY) August 1.9% 1.8%
11:00 U.S. MBA Mortgage Applications October 25.5%
12:30 U.S. Retail sales September 0.2% 0.2%
12:30 U.S. Retail sales excluding auto September 0.3% -0.1%
12:30 U.S. Retail Sales YoY September 2.2%
12:30 U.S. PPI, m/m September 0.0% -0.2%
12:30 U.S. PPI, y/y September -0.8% -0.7%
12:30 U.S. PPI excluding food and energy, m/m September 0.3% 0.1%
12:30 U.S. PPI excluding food and energy, Y/Y September 0.9% 1.2%
14:00 U.S. Business inventories August 0.1% 0.1%
18:00 U.S. Fed's Beige Book
20:30 U.S. API Crude Oil Inventories October -1.2
21:30 New Zealand Business NZ PMI September 55