2021 may have been a quieter year for markets than 2020, but it was still a fairly eventful one on the whole. However, unlike the previous 5 years, when there was generally a uniform move higher or lower across multiple asset classes- Oil was one of the best places to be, with WTI seeing an annual increase of +55%, while DM equities, cryptocurrencies and the US Dollar were also among the winners, as reported by Deutsche Bank.
“Oil was the standout performer as WTI (+55.0%) and Brent Crude (+50.2%) were at the top of our standard leaderboard over 2021 as a whole. The rally was supported by a number of factors, including a rise in global mobility after the lockdowns of 2020, as well as the surge in natural gas prices leading investors to seek out alternative sources of energy.
“The multi-year bull run continued in 2021, with the S&P 500 advancing by +28.7% in total return terms. Other DM equity indices put in a solid performance too, with Europe’s STOXX 600 up by +25.8% on a total returns basis.”
“A notable theme of 2021 has been the widespread growth of cryptocurrencies, with Bitcoin up by +59.8% over the year as a whole. This was driven by a number of factors, among them the search for a hedge against inflation, as well as the broader moves into risk assets amidst low returns elsewhere. Other cryptocurrencies including Ethereum (+399.1%) and XRP (+268.3%) surged over 2021 as well.”
“The dollar index strengthened +6.4% over 2021, mostly reversing the -6.7% decline in 2020. The Japanese Yen was the worst performer, weakening -10.2% against USD.”
“2021 was a great year for commodities more broadly. Industrial metals put in a decent performance, with copper up +26.8%. Over on the London metal exchange, others include tin (+91.2%), aluminium (+41.8%), zinc (+28.5%) and nickel (+24.9%) all recorded very strong gains too. Separately there was a big surge in a number of agricultural commodities, with wheat (+20.3%) seeing its strongest annual gain since 2010 and a 5th consecutive annual increase, whilst corn (+22.6%) and sugar (+21.9%) prices advanced too.”