FX Strategists at UOB Group noted further downside in EUR/USD should meet decent support in the 1.1300 area in the near term.

Key Quotes

24-hour view: “The sharp drop in EUR during late NY hours to 1.1328 came as a surprise. While the rapid decline appears to be running ahead of itself, EUR could dip 1.1328 from here. That said, the major support at 1.1300 is unlikely to come into the picture. Resistance is at 1.1385 followed by 1.1410.”

Next 1-3 weeks: “Last Friday (11 Feb, spot at 1.1420), we highlighted that the recent upside risk has dissipated and we expected EUR to trade between 1.1340 and 1.1500. We did not anticipate the rapid manner by which EUR dropped below 1.1340 (low of 1.1328). Downward pressure has increased, albeit not by much. There is room for EUR to edge lower but any weakness is likely limited to a test of 1.1300. On the upside, a breach of the ‘strong resistance’ level, currently at 1.1440, would indicate that the downside risk has dissipated.”