Economists at Westpac see upside potential for the kiwi towards 0.6735 multi-day. Medium-term, though, NZD/USD could push back down to 0.6500.
“We expect 0.6735 to be tested.”
“The RBNZ MPS will almost surely deliver a 25bp hike. It should also raise its OCR forecast, to terminate closer to 3.0% than the 2.6% it currently has. And there may be some discussion about balance sheet shrinkage. All that should be enough to maintain a hawkish bias in rates markets and keep the NZD underpinned near-term.”
“Multi-month, we continue to expect another USD rally after the Fed has started hiking in March. That should at least slow any NZD upside, and could even cause a final dip to 0.6500, which could be a buying opportunity.”