• GBP/USD could get to 1.20, EUR/USD can trade below 1.05 without positive European data surprises – SocGen

Market news

15 tháng 9 2023

GBP/USD could get to 1.20, EUR/USD can trade below 1.05 without positive European data surprises – SocGen

Kit Juckes, Chief Global FX Strategist at Société Générale, notes that the growth outlook is dominating the FX market.

Growth matters more than central banks

The only positive I can think of for the Euro or Sterling, in a world where growth expectations are the biggest driver of exchange rates, is that expectations about UK and Eurozone growth are already dire relative to the US. 

That ought to be enough to prevent a sharp collapse by EUR/USD or GBP/USD (parity for EUR/USD, or GBP/USD down to around 1.15 seems unlikely) but GBP/USD could get to 1.20, and EUR/USD can easily trade below 1.05 easily if we don’t get any positive surprises from the real economy data in Europe soon.

 

Market Focus
Material posted here is solely for information purposes and reliance on this may lead to losses. Past performances are not a reliable indicator of future results. Please read our full disclaimer
Open Demo Account & Personal Page
I understand and accept the Privacy Policy and agree to my name and contact details being used by TeleTrade to contact me about this.