• OECD raises global growth forecast to 3.0% in 2023, cuts 2024 to 2.7%

Market news

19 tháng 9 2023

OECD raises global growth forecast to 3.0% in 2023, cuts 2024 to 2.7%

In the latest update of its forecasts for major economies published on Tuesday, the Organisation for Economic Development (OECD) raised the global growth forecast to 3.0% in 2023, compared to the 2.7% expansions projected previously.

The OECD, however, cut the 2024 GDP estimate to 2.7% vs. the previous reading of 2.9%.

Additional takeaways

Raises US growth forecast to 2.2% in 2023 (1.6% previously) and to 1.3% in 2024 (1.0% previously).

Cuts chinese growth forecast to 5.1% in 2023 (5.4% previously) and 4.6% in 2024 (5.1% previously).

Cuts Eurozone growth forecast to 0.6% in 2023 (0.9% previously) and to 1.1% in 2024 (1.5% previously).

Raises Japanese growth forecast to 1.8% in 2023 (1.3% previously), trims 2024 to 1.0% (1.1% previously).

Cuts German GDP forecast to contraction of 0.2% in 2023 (flat growth previously) and 0.9% growth in 2024 (1.3% previously).

Monetary policy should remain restrictive until clear signs underlying inflationary pressures are durably lowered.

Sees UK growth of 0.3% in 2023 (unchanged), cuts 2024 forecast to 0.8% (1.0% previously).

Limited scope for policy rate reductions until well into 2024 in most advanced economies.

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