At their respective monetary policy meetings this week, central banks in Australia and New Zealand remained relatively comfortably on hold. Economists at Wells Fargo analyze AUD and NZD outlook.
Against a backdrop of overall resilient US activity and higher US yields, we view an on-hold RBA and RBNZ as consistent with some further Australian and New Zealand Dollar downside in the months ahead.
We target a low for AUD/USD around 0.6100, and a low for NZD/USD around 0.5700, by the end of Q1-2024.