The Shekel has weakened sharply in response to the conflict between Hamas and Israel. Economists at MUFG Bank analyze ILS outlook.
Recent history suggests ILS can weaken further during the conflict.
BoI intervention will help to dampen the scale of ILS sell-off.
ILS weakness could make BoI cautious about cutting rates as market expects.
Levels above 4.00 for USD/ILS have proven short-lived since the GFC. We expect ILS to rebound from weaker levels once conflict de-escalates.